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NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A €4.26, price €5.38, upside -20.7%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Portugal · ISIN PTZON0AM0006

NS Broad data Sep 24, 2026

NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A

0J1Z · LSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €4.26 · Overvalued (−20.7%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −4.3 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.4% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
·6.5% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Moderate moat 64/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€5.53 €2.12 Fair Value €4.26 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.12 – €5.53 · fair‑value band €3.06 – €5.79 · the €5.38 price screens above the €4.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A. together with its subsidiaries, engages in the telecommunications and entertainment business. The company offers cable and satellite television, voice and internet access, mobile broadband internet access and mobile voice; and voice over internet protocol services.

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NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A. together with its subsidiaries, engages in the telecommunications and entertainment business. The company offers cable and satellite television, voice and internet access, mobile broadband internet access and mobile voice; and voice over internet protocol services. It is involved in publishing and sale of video grams; advertising on pay-TV channels; operation of cinemas and mobile communications network; distribution of films; production of pay-TV channels; data center management; licensing; and provision of engineering and consultancy services in information systems. In addition, the company engages in the negotiation, acquisition, purchase, and distribution of content rights and other multimedia products; distributing films; acquiring/negotiating rights for pay-TV and video-on-demand; cinema exhibition and distribution; sale of DVDs and insurance; and provision of security solutions. Further, it invests in and supports the development of companies that commercialize technologies and products; ownership, management, and operation of intellectual property; supply and marketing of electronic communications products and equipment; distribution of television and radio program; and provision of accounting, logistical, administrative, financial, tax, human resources and any other services. Additionally, the company is involved in demonstration, dissemination, and technology transfer and training activities; import, distribution, exploitation, commercialization, and production of audiovisual products; design, construction, management, and operation of electronic communications networks, and related equipment and infrastructures; buying and selling, renting, operating, purchase, and sale of property and commercial establishments; development and construction of buildings, planning, urban management, studies, construction and property management. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal.

Stock analysis

NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z) currently trades at €5.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.26, 20.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €12.25 per share, and 11 of the 23 models we run sit above the €5.38 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €1.19, and 12 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €3.06 (bear) to €5.79 (bull), the price of €5.38 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A reported revenue of €1.4B in FY2020 versus €1.5B in FY2016, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was €92.0M in FY2020, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €1.8B · P/S ratio 0.97 · Dividend yield 6.5% · Net margin 6.7% · Return on equity 21.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4% · Operating margin 17.3% · Revenue (TTM) €1.9B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −21%, 0J1Z screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €3.06 Fair Value €4.26 Bull €5.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €15.63 €22.12 €33.75 76
Growth DCF €16.38 €22.63 €32.98 75
Residual Income €2.46 €2.70 €3.11 73
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €15.63 €22.12 €33.75 76
5Y Revenue Exit €7.03 €9.02 €11.86 70
5Y EBITDA Exit €12.76 €18.92 €27.09 72
5Y P/E Exit €7.20 €9.31 €11.89 69
10Y Revenue Exit €10.30 €12.07 €13.76 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €13.79 €18.06 €22.50 67
10Y P/E Exit €10.50 €12.25 €13.78 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.86 €2.28 €2.56 65
EPV €0.7400 €1.19 €1.58 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €3.72 €4.06 €4.57 67
DDM Multi-Stage €3.72 €4.60 €5.80 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €4.32 €5.76 €7.20 63
P/S Multiple €3.49 €4.66 €5.82 58
P/B Multiple €3.49 €4.66 €5.82 55
EV/EBIT €3.12 €4.86 €6.60 65
EV/EBITDA €13.02 €18.06 €23.09 67
EV/Revenue €1.63 €3.23 €4.82 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.41 €1.90 €2.83 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €16.38 €22.63 €32.98 75
Rev-Margin DCF €7.03 €9.45 €12.64 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income €2.46 €2.70 €3.11 73
ROIC Compounder €0.7400 €1.19 €1.58 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €3.05 €4.35 €5.66 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.4% (2016) → 10.0% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0J1Z screens overvalued: fair value 21% below the price. Compare with AEPL →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A · Fair Value
€4.26 −21%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0J1Z

Frequently asked questions

Is NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.26 versus a price of €5.38, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0J1Z?
Our model-based fair value for NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A is €4.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.38.
What is the quality score of 0J1Z?
NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €4.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.06, optimistic scenario €5.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €4.26, about −21% upside versus a price of €5.38 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €3.06, optimistic scenario €5.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A pay a dividend?
NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.51% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A it is €4.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €5.38. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0J1Z trades above its calculated fair value: price €5.38, fair value €4.26, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0J1Z?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€4.26). For NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A the two are €1.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A worth?
The market values NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A at about €1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €5.38; our models calculate a fair value of €4.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0J1Z?
Our models span a range for NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A: cautious scenario €3.06, base €4.26, optimistic €5.79 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €5.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0J1Z from its 52-week high?
NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A trades at €5.38, about 3% below its 52-week high of €5.53 and 51% above the low of €3.56 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €4.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value AEPL, JSLINDL, ULTRACAB, JIGAR, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €5.38, calculated fair value €4.26 (−21%), Quality Score 59/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0J1Z calculated?
We run NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €4.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €5.38. Our model-based fair value is €4.26, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€3.06 to €5.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
The market capitalisation of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A is €1.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A is 0.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
The dividend yield of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A is 6.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
The net margin of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A is 6.7% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A is 21.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
The operating margin of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
Revenue at NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A is growing +9.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (0J1Z)?
Earnings per share at NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A are growing +3.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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