ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. ₹15.70, price ₹37.95, upside -58.6%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹5.51 – ₹160.20 · fair‑value band ₹11.72 – ₹23.44 · the ₹37.95 price screens above the ₹15.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow ALFA TRANSFORMERS in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether ALFA TRANSFORMERS is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN) currently trades at ₹37.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹15.70, 58.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ₹11.72 (bear) to ₹23.44 (bull), the price of ₹37.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. reported revenue of ₹319M in FY2026 versus ₹95.7M in FY2022, a compound +35.1%/yr. Reported net income was −₹15.9M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹347M (≈ $3.6M) · P/S ratio 0.90 · EPS (TTM) ₹−2.03 · Net margin −5.0% · Return on equity −7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% · Operating margin −4.7% · Revenue (TTM) ₹325M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −59%, ALFATRAN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹11.72Fair Value ₹15.70Bull ₹23.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.6%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−35.0% (2021) → −3.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Electrical Equipment” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5314 stocks
Beats the sector median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−58.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−5.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−4.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.01× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA50.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)70· sector 37
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)85· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹15.70 versus a price of ₹37.95, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALFATRAN?
Our model-based fair value for ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. is ₹15.70 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹37.95.
What is the quality score of ALFATRAN?
ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹15.70 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹11.72, optimistic scenario ₹23.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹15.70, about −59% upside versus a price of ₹37.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹11.72, optimistic scenario ₹23.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹325M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. it is ₹15.70 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹37.95. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ALFATRAN trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹37.95, fair value ₹15.70, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALFATRAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹37.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹15.70). For ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. the two are ₹22.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. worth?
The market values ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. at about ₹347M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹37.95; our models calculate a fair value of ₹15.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALFATRAN?
Our models span a range for ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD.: cautious scenario ₹11.72, base ₹15.70, optimistic ₹23.44 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹37.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −7.2%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALFATRAN from its 52-week high?
ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. trades at ₹37.95, about 39% below its 52-week high of ₹62.47 and 33% above the low of ₹28.58 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹15.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value AEPL, REXNORD, CALCOM, JSLINDL, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹37.95, calculated fair value ₹15.70 (−59%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALFATRAN calculated?
We run ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹15.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹37.95. Our model-based fair value is ₹15.70, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹23.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹11.72 to ₹23.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
The market capitalisation of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. is ₹347M (≈ $3.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. is 0.90 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
Earnings per share at ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. are ₹−2.03. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
The net margin of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. is −5.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. is −7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
The operating margin of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. is −4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
Revenue at ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. is growing +14.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN)?
Earnings per share at ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. are growing +4.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN) generate?
The free cash flow of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. is −₹8.6M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. (ALFATRAN) carry?
The net debt of ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. is ₹118M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. in the live analysis
One click puts ALFA TRANSFORMERS LTD. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
