Vinci SA (0NQM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Vinci SA €98.16, price €107, upside -8.3%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Vinci SA for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €69.28 – €138.81 · fair‑value band €73.62 – €122.70 · the €107.05 price screens above the €98.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Vinci SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in concessions, energy, and construction businesses in France and internationally. It operates through Concessions, Energy Solutions, and Construction segments. The company's Concessions segment operates motorways, autoroutes, airports, highways, railways, and stadiums.
Show more
Vinci SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in concessions, energy, and construction businesses in France and internationally. It operates through Concessions, Energy Solutions, and Construction segments. The company's Concessions segment operates motorways, autoroutes, airports, highways, railways, and stadiums. Its Energy segment provides services to the manufacturing sector, infrastructure, building solutions and facilities management, and information and communication technology; and industrial and energy-related services, which includes development of renewable energy assets, as well as engineering, procurement, construction projects in the energy sector, and development of renewable energy production facilities of solar, and wind farms. The company's Construction segment engages in designing and undertaking projects, which includes general contractor; geotechnical, and structural engineering and related digital activities, as well as provision of services in nuclear engineering; undertaking building, civil engineering, roadworks, rail works, and water works; development of properties, including residential and commercial properties; and management of residences and property services. Vinci SA was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Nanterre, France.
Stock analysis
Vinci SA (0NQM) currently trades at €107.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €98.16, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €162.33 per share, and 11 of the 25 models we run sit above the €107.05 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €25.16, and 14 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €73.62 (bear) to €122.70 (bull), the price of €107.05 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Vinci SA reported revenue of €50.0B in FY2021 versus €40.9B in FY2017, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was €2.6B in FY2021, compounding −1.4%/yr from FY2017.
Key figures
Market cap €49.3B · P/E ratio 0.2 · P/S ratio 0.01 · EPS (TTM) €4.51 · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity 15.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −8%, 0NQM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €73.62Fair Value €98.16Bull €122.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.1% (2017) → 8.9% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Industrial Machinery” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5305 stocks
Beats the sector median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−14.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.28× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vinci SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0NQM
Frequently asked questions
Is Vinci SA (0NQM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €98.16 versus a price of €107.05, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0NQM?
Our model-based fair value for Vinci SA is €98.16 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €107.05.
What is the quality score of 0NQM?
Vinci SA has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vinci SA (0NQM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €98.16 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €73.62, optimistic scenario €122.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vinci SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €98.16, about −8% upside versus a price of €107.05 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €73.62, optimistic scenario €122.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
Vinci SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €75.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Vinci SA pay a dividend?
Vinci SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.67% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vinci SA it is €98.16 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €107.05. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vinci SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0NQM trades above its calculated fair value: price €107.05, fair value €98.16, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0NQM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€107.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€98.16). For Vinci SA the two are €8.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vinci SA worth?
The market values Vinci SA at about €49.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €107.05; our models calculate a fair value of €98.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0NQM?
Our models span a range for Vinci SA: cautious scenario €73.62, base €98.16, optimistic €122.70 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €107.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0NQM?
Vinci SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.2 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €98.16 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vinci SA (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 15.4%, debt of 1.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0NQM from its 52-week high?
Vinci SA trades at €107.05, about 23% below its 52-week high of €138.81 and 1% above the low of €105.60 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €98.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vinci SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value BAJAJST, SEALMATIC, BIRLAPREC, Stovec Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vinci SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €107.05, calculated fair value €98.16 (−8%), Quality Score 55/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0NQM calculated?
We run Vinci SA through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €98.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Vinci SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €107.05. Our model-based fair value is €98.16, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vinci SA right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Vinci SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
The market capitalisation of Vinci SA is €49.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vinci SA is 0.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
Earnings per share at Vinci SA are €4.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
The dividend yield of Vinci SA is 4.7% (payout 111%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
The net margin of Vinci SA is 5.2% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vinci SA is 15.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vinci SA is 5.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vinci SA (0NQM)?
The operating margin of Vinci SA is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vinci SA (0NQM)?
Revenue at Vinci SA is growing +5.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vinci SA (0NQM)?
Earnings per share at Vinci SA are growing +6.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
Free · no account needed
Watch Vinci SA in the live analysis
One click puts Vinci SA on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
