EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. ₹27.53, price ₹95.96, upside -71.3%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹5.56 – ₹106.79 · fair‑value band ₹21.72 – ₹34.64 · the ₹95.96 price screens above the ₹27.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS) currently trades at ₹95.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹27.53, implying the stock looks roughly 248.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹57.59 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹95.96 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹9.36, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹21.72 (bear) to ₹34.64 (bull), the price of ₹95.96 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. reported revenue of ₹1.1B in FY2025 versus ₹482M in FY2021, a compound +24.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹31.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹2.2B (≈ $22.8M) · P/E ratio 56.4 · P/S ratio 1.57 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.70 · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 12.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2% · Operating margin 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −71%, EXPOGAS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹21.72Fair Value ₹27.53Bull ₹34.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.70 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+51.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
’19
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’21
’22
’23
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +7.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 7%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 294% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+42.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +37.1% a year for the price.
Compare EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Containers & Packaging · 25 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−71% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Containers & Packaging median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)56.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B6.87× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.90× · Pricier than median
P/FCF0.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA24.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)4· sector 4
PAST (return on equity)48· sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 8
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EXPOGAS
Frequently asked questions
Is EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹27.53 versus a price of ₹95.96, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EXPOGAS?
Our model-based fair value for EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. is ₹27.53 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹95.96.
What is the quality score of EXPOGAS?
EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹27.53 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹21.72, optimistic scenario ₹34.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹27.53, about −71% upside versus a price of ₹95.96 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹21.72, optimistic scenario ₹34.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by +42.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EXPOGAS use?
Our models discount EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.69, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. that is +42.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. grew +18.5 % a year. The price currently implies +42.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.34 %: that much free cash flow EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. it is ₹27.53 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ₹95.96. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, EXPOGAS trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹95.96, fair value ₹27.53, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EXPOGAS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹95.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹27.53). For EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. the two are ₹68.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. worth?
The market values EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. at about ₹2.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ₹95.96; our models calculate a fair value of ₹27.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EXPOGAS?
Our models span a range for EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD.: cautious scenario ₹21.72, base ₹27.53, optimistic ₹34.64 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ₹95.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EXPOGAS?
EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹27.53 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.9, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 24.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
Balance-sheet figures for EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 12.0%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EXPOGAS from its 52-week high?
EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. trades at ₹95.96, about 14% below its 52-week high of ₹111.00 and 107% above the low of ₹46.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹27.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD.?
From the same area (Materials) we also value DAIOS, Daelim Paper Co, M2N Co, RDBRL, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ₹95.96, calculated fair value ₹27.53 (−71%), Quality Score 48/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EXPOGAS calculated?
We run EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹27.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ₹95.96. Our model-based fair value is ₹27.53, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹34.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
The market capitalisation of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. is ₹2.2B (≈ $22.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. is 1.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
Earnings per share at EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. are ₹1.70 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 56.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
The net margin of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. is 2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. is 12.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
The operating margin of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
Revenue at EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. is growing +0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS)?
Earnings per share at EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. are growing +254% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. (EXPOGAS) carry?
The net debt of EXPO GAS CONTAINERS LTD. is ₹281M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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