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TF1 SA (0NQT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of TF1 SA €4.65, price €5.98, upside -22.3%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home France · ISIN FR0000054900

TS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

TF1 SA

0NQT · LSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €4.65 · Overvalued (−22.3%)
!Quality 58/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −0.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

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Price vs Fair Value

€8.17 €4.27 Fair Value €4.65 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €4.27 – €8.17 · fair‑value band €3.49 – €5.82 · the €5.98 price screens above the €4.65 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

TF1 SA operates as a media and entertainment company, primarily engages in television broadcasting, content creation, and distribution of audiovisual rights in France, Continental Europe, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Media and Studio TF1.

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TF1 SA operates as a media and entertainment company, primarily engages in television broadcasting, content creation, and distribution of audiovisual rights in France, Continental Europe, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Media and Studio TF1. The Media segment includes TV channels and content creation activities, the TF1+ free streaming platform, and produces and acquires audiovisual rights for TV channels in line with French broadcasting industry regulations. This segment engages in the sale of advertising space through individually negotiated space-buying deals and programmatic ad sale auctions; and making content and services. The Studio TF1 segment produces, acquires, develops, and distributes audiovisual rights, such as films, drama, TV movies, cartoons, documentaries, unscripted shows, etc. TF1 SA was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Boulogne-Billancourt, France.

Stock analysis

TF1 SA (0NQT) currently trades at €5.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.65, 22.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €10.97 per share, and 11 of the 23 models we run sit above the €5.98 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €1.56, and 12 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €3.49 (bear) to €5.82 (bull), the price of €5.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

TF1 SA reported revenue of €2.1B in FY2020 versus €2.1B in FY2016, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was €55.3M in FY2020, compounding +7.3%/yr from FY2016. FY2016 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap €1.8B · P/S ratio 0.78 · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% · Operating margin 2.0% · Revenue (TTM) €2.2B · Revenue growth (YoY) −9.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −22%, 0NQT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €3.49 Fair Value €4.65 Bull €5.82
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €12.68 €16.56 €23.07 77
Growth DCF €13.10 €16.77 €22.47 76
EPV €1.51 €1.73 €1.91 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €12.68 €16.56 €23.07 77
5Y Revenue Exit €7.35 €9.07 €11.52 71
5Y EBITDA Exit €8.48 €11.02 €14.39 73
5Y P/E Exit €6.94 €8.36 €10.09 69
10Y Revenue Exit €9.57 €10.97 €12.33 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €10.27 €12.08 €13.86 67
10Y P/E Exit €9.42 €10.57 €11.56 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.28 €1.56 €1.76 65
EPV €1.51 €1.73 €1.91 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.50 €2.69 €2.98 67
DDM Multi-Stage €2.50 €2.97 €3.59 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €2.96 €3.94 €4.93 63
P/S Multiple €2.39 €3.19 €3.99 58
P/B Multiple €2.39 €3.19 €3.99 55
EV/EBIT €4.90 €6.56 €8.22 66
EV/EBITDA €6.08 €8.13 €10.19 67
EV/Revenue €3.47 €5.00 €6.52 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.71 €3.63 €5.42 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €13.10 €16.77 €22.47 76
Rev-Margin DCF €7.35 €9.40 €12.09 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.81 €3.75 €3.79 73
ROIC Compounder €1.51 €1.73 €1.91 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €2.09 €2.98 €3.88 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.2% (2016) → 5.5% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0NQT screens overvalued: fair value 22% below the price. Compare with BAJAJST →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Industrial Machinery” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5298 stocks

Beats the sector median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −33.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7.3% · Above median
Return on assets 3.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −9.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.28× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.91× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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BAJAJST BAJAJST ₹334.40 ₹188.79 −44%
SEALMATIC SEALMATIC ₹400.00 ₹86.20 −78%
BIRLAPREC BIRLAPREC ₹56.22 ₹20.03 −64%
Stovec Industries Limited 504959 ₹1,602 ₹431.70 −73%
EXPOGAS EXPOGAS ₹89.50 ₹37.65 −58%
CHANDNI CHANDNI ₹71.00 ₹20.37 −71%
CHANDNIMACH CHANDNIMACH ₹93.51 ₹17.66 −81%
CRANEX CRANEX ₹78.97 ₹44.07 −44%
AUSTENG AUSTENG ₹161.85 ₹218.25 +35%
SOLIMAC SOLIMAC ₹92.09 ₹62.19 −32%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TF1 SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0NQT

Frequently asked questions

Is TF1 SA (0NQT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.65 versus a price of €5.98, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0NQT?
Our model-based fair value for TF1 SA is €4.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.98.
What is the quality score of 0NQT?
TF1 SA has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TF1 SA (0NQT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €4.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.49, optimistic scenario €5.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TF1 SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €4.65, about −22% upside versus a price of €5.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €3.49, optimistic scenario €5.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TF1 SA (0NQT)?
TF1 SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TF1 SA (0NQT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TF1 SA it is €4.65 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €5.98. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TF1 SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0NQT trades above its calculated fair value: price €5.98, fair value €4.65, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0NQT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€4.65). For TF1 SA the two are €1.33 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TF1 SA worth?
The market values TF1 SA at about €1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €5.98; our models calculate a fair value of €4.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0NQT?
Our models span a range for TF1 SA: cautious scenario €3.49, base €4.65, optimistic €5.82 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €5.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TF1 SA (0NQT)?
Balance-sheet figures for TF1 SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.3%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0NQT from its 52-week high?
TF1 SA trades at €5.98, about 24% below its 52-week high of €7.83 and at the low of €5.98 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €4.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TF1 SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value BAJAJST, SEALMATIC, BIRLAPREC, Stovec Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TF1 SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €5.98, calculated fair value €4.65 (−22%), Quality Score 58/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0NQT calculated?
We run TF1 SA through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €4.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. TF1 SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TF1 SA (0NQT)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €5.98. Our model-based fair value is €4.65, about −22% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TF1 SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€5.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of TF1 SA

How large is the market capitalisation of TF1 SA (0NQT)?
The market capitalisation of TF1 SA is €1.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TF1 SA (0NQT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TF1 SA is 0.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of TF1 SA (0NQT)?
The net margin of TF1 SA is 2.7% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TF1 SA (0NQT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TF1 SA is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TF1 SA (0NQT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TF1 SA is 4.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TF1 SA (0NQT)?
The operating margin of TF1 SA is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TF1 SA (0NQT)?
Revenue at TF1 SA is growing −9.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TF1 SA (0NQT)?
Earnings per share at TF1 SA are growing −71.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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