Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft €0.69, price €1.40, upside -50.6%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.8665 – €3.10 · fair‑value band €0.5700 – €0.8200 · the €1.40 price screens above the €0.6900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures printing presses in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. It operates through Packaging Solutions, Packaging Solutions, and Packaging Solutions segments.
Show more
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures printing presses in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. It operates through Packaging Solutions, Packaging Solutions, and Packaging Solutions segments. The company offers connected luxury packaging, high-volume packaging, and pharma packaging; equipment and services for packaging production, such as offset printing, die-cutting and embossing, folding carton gluing, inline flexo printing, inspection systems, hot foil stamping, and services and consumables. It also provides equipment and services for commercial printing, including digital printing, offset printing, cutting and folding, and die cutting and embossing; equipment and services for label printing comprising offset printing, cutting and die-cutting, and narrow-web printing; and security printing solutions for ID cards, passports, driver licenses, credit and bank cards, tax stamps, and official certificates. In addition, the company offers production solutions for foundry, manufacturing, assembly, and electronics; consumables for prepress consisting of plates and related chemistry, films and related chemistry, proofing, and flexo; consumables for presses, which include inks, coatings, blankets, ink and dampening rollers, pressroom chemicals, ink duct foils, wash-up cloths, and spray powders; and cutting supplies, folding supplies, binding supplies, and folding carton gluing supplies for postpress consumables. Further, it develops and produces customized control and power electronics; develops intelligent charging solutions for electromobility, Wallbox line, and fast-charging systems. The company was formerly known as Schnellpressenfabrik AG Heidelberg and changed its name to Heidelberger Druckmaschinen in 1967. Heidelberger Druckmaschinen was founded in 1850 and is based in Heidelberg, Germany.
Stock analysis
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, (0OC2) currently trades at €1.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.6900, 50.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €1.13 per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the €1.40 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.1300, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €0.5700 (bear) to €0.8200 (bull), the price of €1.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, reported revenue of €1.9B in FY2021 versus €2.5B in FY2017, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€42.9M in FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €799M · P/S ratio 0.35 · Net margin −2.2% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% · Operating margin −0.6% · Revenue (TTM) €2.3B · Revenue growth (YoY) −11.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −51%, 0OC2 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.5700Fair Value €0.6900Bull €0.8200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.6% (2017) → 0.9% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Compare Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Machinery · 17 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Above median
Fair Value upside−56.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.7% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets1.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−0.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.68× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.6900 versus a price of €1.40, about −51% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0OC2?
Our model-based fair value for Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, is €0.6900 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.40.
What is the quality score of 0OC2?
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.6900 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.5700, optimistic scenario €0.8200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.6900, about −51% upside versus a price of €1.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.5700, optimistic scenario €0.8200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, it is €0.6900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €1.40. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0OC2 trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.40, fair value €0.6900, a gap of about −51% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0OC2?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.6900). For Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, the two are €0.7065 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, worth?
The market values Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, at about €799M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €1.40; our models calculate a fair value of €0.6900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0OC2?
Our models span a range for Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft,: cautious scenario €0.5700, base €0.6900, optimistic €0.8200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €1.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
Balance-sheet figures for Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.7%, debt of 0.68 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0OC2 from its 52-week high?
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, trades at €1.40, about 41% below its 52-week high of €2.37 and 8% above the low of €1.30 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.6900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft,?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value BAJAJST, SEALMATIC, BIRLAPREC, Stovec Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €1.40, calculated fair value €0.6900 (−51%), Quality Score 49/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0OC2 calculated?
We run Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.6900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €1.40. Our model-based fair value is €0.6900, about −51% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.8200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft,
How large is the market capitalisation of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
The market capitalisation of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, is €799M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, is 0.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
The net margin of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, is −2.2% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
The operating margin of Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
Revenue at Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, is growing −11.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft (0OC2)?
Earnings per share at Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, are growing +80.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
Free · no account needed
Watch Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, in the live analysis
One click puts Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft, on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
