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TX Group (0QO9) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of TX Group £74.68, price £169, upside -55.9%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Oct 2, 2026
TX Group
0QO9 · LSEStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value £74.68 · Strongly overvalued (−55.9%)
✓Quality 65/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.4% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £63.22 – £234.93 · fair‑value band £55.73 – £111.47 · the £169.30 price screens above the £74.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Company profile
TX Group AG operates a network of platforms and participations that provides users with information, orientation, entertainment, and other services in Switzerland. It operates through five segments: TX Markets, Goldbach, 20 Minuten, Tamedia, and Group & Ventures.
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TX Group AG operates a network of platforms and participations that provides users with information, orientation, entertainment, and other services in Switzerland. It operates through five segments: TX Markets, Goldbach, 20 Minuten, Tamedia, and Group & Ventures. The company operates platforms in the areas of real estate, automotive, marketplaces, and finance and insurance services, as well as operates JobCloud, a job portal. It also provides advertising marketing in the areas of TV, OOH, radio, online, mobile and performance marketing. In addition, the company offers daily newspapers, magazines, and publishing services. Further, the company provides news through news media outlets; Zattoo; and Doodle, as well as fintech area platforms. The company was formerly known as Tamedia AG and changed its name to TX Group AG in January 2020. TX Group AG was founded in 1893 and is based in Zurich, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
TX Group (0QO9) currently trades at £169.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £74.68, 55.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of £141.98 per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the £169.30 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at £12.88, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: £55.73 (bear) to £111.47 (bull), the price of £169.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
TX Group reported revenue of £872M in FY2025 versus £952M in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was £8.6M in FY2025, compounding −67.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap £1.8B · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) £75.64 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 1.0% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% · Operating margin 4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −56%, 0QO9 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £55.73
Fair Value £74.68
Bull £111.47
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£54.17 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
£171.65
£215.49
£289.03
82
Growth DCF
£176.32
£217.88
£282.26
80
Owner Earnings
£148.23
£184.96
£246.58
78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
£171.65
£215.49
£289.03
82
Owner Earnings
£148.23
£184.96
£246.58
78
5Y Revenue Exit
£95.48
£103.30
£114.21
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
£162.43
£219.06
£294.08
76
5Y P/E Exit
£96.76
£105.51
£116.56
72
10Y Revenue Exit
£128.26
£136.79
£143.87
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
£165.62
£202.16
£240.20
70
10Y P/E Exit
£129.18
£138.04
£145.12
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
£5.51
£6.74
£7.58
67
EPV
£31.43
£32.00
£32.47
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
£36.56
£39.41
£43.65
69
DDM Multi-Stage
£36.56
£43.52
£52.50
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
£12.77
£17.03
£21.29
63
P/S Multiple
£10.34
£13.79
£17.23
58
P/B Multiple
£10.34
£13.79
£17.23
55
EV/EBIT
£40.51
£44.91
£49.32
66
EV/EBITDA
£176.59
£226.36
£276.13
67
EV/Revenue
£36.72
£40.77
£44.81
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
£105.96
£141.98
£211.91
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
£176.32
£217.88
£282.26
80
Rev-Margin DCF
£95.48
£107.10
£123.76
74
Economic Profit
Residual Income
£134.91
£124.20
£115.87
76
ROIC Compounder
£31.43
£32.00
£32.47
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
£9.02
£12.88
£16.75
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
65/100
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Profitability
15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
94
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−51.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−54.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−54.2% vs −24.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.6% a year for the price.
0QO9 screens overvalued: fair value 56% below the price. Compare with BAJAJST →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Industrial Machinery” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5298 stocks
Beats the sector median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| BIRLAPREC BIRLAPREC | ₹56.22 | ₹20.03 | −64% |
| Stovec Industries Limited 504959 | ₹1,602 | ₹431.70 | −73% |
| EXPOGAS EXPOGAS | ₹89.50 | ₹37.65 | −58% |
| CHANDNI CHANDNI | ₹71.00 | ₹20.37 | −71% |
| CHANDNIMACH CHANDNIMACH | ₹93.51 | ₹17.66 | −81% |
| CRANEX CRANEX | ₹78.97 | ₹44.07 | −44% |
| AUSTENG AUSTENG | ₹161.85 | ₹218.25 | +35% |
| SOLIMAC SOLIMAC | ₹92.09 | ₹62.19 | −32% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is TX Group (0QO9) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £74.68 versus a price of £169.30, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0QO9?
Our model-based fair value for TX Group is £74.68 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £169.30.
What is the quality score of 0QO9?
TX Group has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TX Group (0QO9)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £74.68 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario £55.73, optimistic scenario £111.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TX Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £74.68, about −56% upside versus a price of £169.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £55.73, optimistic scenario £111.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TX Group (0QO9)?
TX Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £873M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does TX Group pay a dividend?
TX Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.36% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into TX Group (0QO9)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TX Group would have to grow free cash flow by -5.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.3 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0QO9 use?
Our models discount TX Group at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.57, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TX Group that is -5.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TX Group (0QO9) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TX Group grew -1.3 % a year. The price currently implies -5.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TX Group (0QO9) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TX Group (-5.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TX Group (0QO9)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.32 %: that much free cash flow TX Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TX Group (0QO9)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TX Group it is £74.68 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of £169.30. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TX Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 0QO9 trades above its calculated fair value: price £169.30, fair value £74.68, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QO9?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£169.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£74.68). For TX Group the two are £94.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TX Group worth?
The market values TX Group at about £1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is £169.30; our models calculate a fair value of £74.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QO9?
Our models span a range for TX Group: cautious scenario £55.73, base £74.68, optimistic £111.47 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price £169.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0QO9?
TX Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £74.68 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of TX Group (0QO9)?
Balance-sheet figures for TX Group (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 1.4%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0QO9 from its 52-week high?
TX Group trades at £169.30, about 18% below its 52-week high of £206.29 and 39% above the low of £121.62 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £74.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TX Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value BAJAJST, SEALMATIC, BIRLAPREC, Stovec Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TX Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price £169.30, calculated fair value £74.68 (−56%), Quality Score 65/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QO9 calculated?
We run TX Group through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £74.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. TX Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TX Group (0QO9)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £169.30. Our model-based fair value is £74.68, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TX Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£111.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (£55.73 to £111.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of TX Group (0QO9) come from?
Earnings per share at TX Group grew −23.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.3 %, EBIT margin −14.2 %, tax rate −4.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of TX Group
How large is the market capitalisation of TX Group (0QO9)?
The market capitalisation of TX Group is £1.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of TX Group (0QO9)?
Earnings per share at TX Group are £75.64 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TX Group (0QO9)?
The dividend yield of TX Group is 2.4% (payout 5.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TX Group (0QO9)?
The net margin of TX Group is 1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TX Group (0QO9)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TX Group is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TX Group (0QO9)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TX Group is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TX Group (0QO9)?
The operating margin of TX Group is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TX Group (0QO9)?
Revenue at TX Group is growing −7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TX Group (0QO9)?
Earnings per share at TX Group are growing +189% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does TX Group (0QO9) hold?
TX Group holds more cash than debt, £101M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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