Axfood AB (0R6R) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Axfood AB SEK 206, price SEK 255, upside -19.2%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 176.73 – kr 333.82 · fair‑value band kr 154.59 – kr 257.64 · the kr 255.15 price screens above the kr 206.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Axfood AB (publ) engages in the food retail and wholesale businesses primarily in Sweden. The company operates through five segments: Willys, Hemköp, City Gross, Snabbgross, and Dagab. The company sells groceries through Willys, HANDLAR'N, Hemköp, and Eurocash, City Gross, and Tempo store chains.
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Axfood AB (publ) engages in the food retail and wholesale businesses primarily in Sweden. The company operates through five segments: Willys, Hemköp, City Gross, Snabbgross, and Dagab. The company sells groceries through Willys, HANDLAR'N, Hemköp, and Eurocash, City Gross, and Tempo store chains. It is also involved in the e-commerce business; and provision of private label products. In addition, it operates Urban Deli, a combination of restaurant, store, and market hall; Apohem, an online retail pharmacy; Matöppet, a personal grocery store and the retailer-owned mini-mart; Snabbgross, a restaurant; and Tempo, a mini-mart format of retailer-owned stores. The company serves restaurants, fast food operators, and cafés; and retailer-owned stores, mini-marts, and other convenience retailers. Axfood AB (publ) was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Axfood AB (publ) operates as a subsidiary of Axretail AB.
Stock analysis
Axfood AB (0R6R) currently trades at kr 255.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 206.11, 19.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 333.19 per share, and 10 of the 25 models we run sit above the kr 255.15 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 65.32, and 15 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 154.59 (bear) to kr 257.64 (bull), the price of kr 255.15 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Axfood AB reported revenue of 57.9B SEK in FY2021 versus 46.0B SEK in FY2017, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was 2.2B SEK in FY2021, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2017.
Key figures
Market cap 52.3B SEK (≈ $5.2B) · P/S ratio 0.58 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 36.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.2% · Operating margin 4.2% · Revenue (TTM) 89.9B SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −19%, 0R6R screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 154.59Fair Value kr 206.11Bull kr 257.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.1% (2017) → 4.7% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Machinery · 16 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−14.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)36.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)2.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.5% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Axfood AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0R6R
Frequently asked questions
Is Axfood AB (0R6R) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 206.11 versus a price of kr 255.15, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0R6R?
Our model-based fair value for Axfood AB is kr 206.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 255.15.
What is the quality score of 0R6R?
Axfood AB has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Axfood AB (0R6R)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 206.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 154.59, optimistic scenario kr 257.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Axfood AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 206.11, about −19% upside versus a price of kr 255.15 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 154.59, optimistic scenario kr 257.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Axfood AB (0R6R)?
Axfood AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 89.9B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Axfood AB pay a dividend?
Axfood AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.53% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Axfood AB (0R6R)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Axfood AB it is kr 206.11 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of kr 255.15. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Axfood AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 0R6R trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 255.15, fair value kr 206.11, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0R6R?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 255.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 206.11). For Axfood AB the two are kr 49.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Axfood AB worth?
The market values Axfood AB at about 52.3B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is kr 255.15; our models calculate a fair value of kr 206.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0R6R?
Our models span a range for Axfood AB: cautious scenario kr 154.59, base kr 206.11, optimistic kr 257.64 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price kr 255.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Axfood AB (0R6R)?
Balance-sheet figures for Axfood AB (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 36.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0R6R from its 52-week high?
Axfood AB trades at kr 255.15, about 24% below its 52-week high of kr 333.82 and 12% above the low of kr 228.00 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 206.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Axfood AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value BAJAJST, SEALMATIC, BIRLAPREC, Stovec Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Axfood AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price kr 255.15, calculated fair value kr 206.11 (−19%), Quality Score 65/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0R6R calculated?
We run Axfood AB through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 206.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Axfood AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Axfood AB (0R6R)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 255.15. Our model-based fair value is kr 206.11, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Axfood AB right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Axfood AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Axfood AB (0R6R)?
The market capitalisation of Axfood AB is 52.3B SEK (≈ $5.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Axfood AB (0R6R)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Axfood AB is 0.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Axfood AB (0R6R)?
The dividend yield of Axfood AB is 3.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Axfood AB (0R6R)?
The net margin of Axfood AB is 3.7% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Axfood AB (0R6R)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Axfood AB is 36.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Axfood AB (0R6R)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Axfood AB is 14.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Axfood AB (0R6R)?
The operating margin of Axfood AB is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Axfood AB (0R6R)?
Revenue at Axfood AB is growing +0.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Axfood AB (0R6R)?
Earnings per share at Axfood AB are growing +3.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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