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Bitcoin Group (0RWM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bitcoin Group €12.53, price €29.38, upside -57.4%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Bitcoin Group
0RWM · LSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value €12.53 · Strongly overvalued (−57.4%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -12.9% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range €22.22 – €35.36 · fair‑value band €11.47 – €14.71 · the €29.38 price screens above the €12.53 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Bitcoin Group SE, an investment holding company, engages in the cryptocurrency and blockchain businesses internationally. The company operates a trading platform for the digital currencies under the Bitcoin.de. It also provides financial services. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Herford, Germany.
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Bitcoin Group SE, an investment holding company, engages in the cryptocurrency and blockchain businesses internationally. The company operates a trading platform for the digital currencies under the Bitcoin.de. It also provides financial services. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Herford, Germany. Bitcoin Group SE is a subsidiary of Priority AG.
Stock analysis
Bitcoin Group (0RWM) currently trades at €29.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.53, 57.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 8 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Scenario range: €11.47 (bear) to €14.71 (bull), the price of €29.38 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Bitcoin Group reported revenue of €10.5M in FY2025 versus €25.8M in FY2021, a compound −20.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €147M · P/E ratio 0.1 · P/S ratio 15.7 · EPS (TTM) €2.67 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −12.3% · Return on equity −0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −57%, 0RWM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €11.47
Fair Value €12.53
Bull €14.71
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€2.02 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple
€28.72
€38.29
€47.86
55
NCAV (Graham)
€22.52
€30.18
€45.05
51
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple
€28.72
€38.29
€47.86
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€22.52
€30.18
€45.05
51
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
37/100
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Profitability
8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.5%
’15
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
87.4% (2017) → −43.5% (2022)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
0RWM screens overvalued: fair value 57% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →
Compare Bitcoin Group with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 658 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $112.09 | $52.29 | −53% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $93.18 | $29.26 | −69% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | $36.87 | $13.45 | −64% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $116.06 | $197.23 | +70% |
| State Street Corporation STT | $177.78 | $139.37 | −22% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $494.82 | $595.40 | +20% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $122.01 | $103.68 | −15% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $175.73 | $123.42 | −30% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $161.16 | $317.27 | +97% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €68.10 | €136.20 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Bitcoin Group (0RWM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €12.53 versus a price of €29.38, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0RWM?
Our model-based fair value for Bitcoin Group is €12.53 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €29.38.
What is the quality score of 0RWM?
Bitcoin Group has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €12.53 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario €11.47, optimistic scenario €14.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bitcoin Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €12.53, about −57% upside versus a price of €29.38 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €11.47, optimistic scenario €14.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
Bitcoin Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €10.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Bitcoin Group pay a dividend?
Bitcoin Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.32% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bitcoin Group it is €12.53 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €29.38. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bitcoin Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0RWM trades above its calculated fair value: price €29.38, fair value €12.53, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RWM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€29.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€12.53). For Bitcoin Group the two are €16.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bitcoin Group worth?
The market values Bitcoin Group at about €147M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €29.38; our models calculate a fair value of €12.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RWM?
Our models span a range for Bitcoin Group: cautious scenario €11.47, base €12.53, optimistic €14.71 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €29.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0RWM?
Bitcoin Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €12.53 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 18.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bitcoin Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Bitcoin Group?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bitcoin Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €29.38, calculated fair value €12.53 (−57%), Quality Score 37/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RWM calculated?
We run Bitcoin Group through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €12.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bitcoin Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €29.38. Our model-based fair value is €12.53, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bitcoin Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€14.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Bitcoin Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
The market capitalisation of Bitcoin Group is €147M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bitcoin Group is 15.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
Earnings per share at Bitcoin Group are €2.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
The dividend yield of Bitcoin Group is 0.3% (payout 3.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
The net margin of Bitcoin Group is −12.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bitcoin Group is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bitcoin Group is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
The operating margin of Bitcoin Group is −25.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
Revenue at Bitcoin Group is growing +21.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bitcoin Group (0RWM)?
Earnings per share at Bitcoin Group are growing −72.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bitcoin Group (0RWM) generate?
The free cash flow of Bitcoin Group is −€1.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Bitcoin Group (0RWM) hold?
Bitcoin Group holds more cash than debt, €12.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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