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DWS Group (0SAY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of DWS Group €60.26, price €68.20, upside -11.6%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
DWS Group
0SAY · LSEOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value €60.26 · Overvalued (−11.6%)
✓Quality 74/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 21.2% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
✓4.4% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Wide moat 65/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €17.16 – €77.92 · fair‑value band €44.56 – €75.32 · the €68.20 price screens above the €60.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
DWS Group GmbH & Co. KGaA offers asset management services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company's products and solutions cover equities, fixed income, cash, real estate, infrastructure, and private equity, as well as a range of sustainable investments.
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DWS Group GmbH & Co. KGaA offers asset management services in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company's products and solutions cover equities, fixed income, cash, real estate, infrastructure, and private equity, as well as a range of sustainable investments. Within private equity, the firm specializes in co-investment, emerging markets, small and medium-sized companies, direct buyout, secondaries PE markets and structured capital solutions to private equity firms. The firm typical private equity investments include follow-on equity capital to fund M&A for an existing portfolio company, taking a minority interest in a portfolio company to allow for partial liquidity or providing flexible capital for continuation situations around a single asset. The firm also takes majority stakes in its portfolio companies. Within private equity, the firm typically invests in North America and Europe in seasoned, performing assets. It serves retail and institutional investors. The company is based in Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Stock analysis
DWS Group (0SAY) currently trades at €68.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €60.26, 11.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €69.06 per share, and 4 of the 13 models we run sit above the €68.20 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €24.10, and 9 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €44.56 (bear) to €75.32 (bull), the price of €68.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
DWS Group reported revenue of €4.3B in FY2025 versus €3.9B in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was €927M in FY2025, compounding +4.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €13.6B · P/E ratio 0.2 · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) €3.99 · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 21.4% · Return on equity 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −12%, 0SAY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €44.56
Fair Value €60.26
Bull €75.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.7448 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF
€49.86
€69.61
€97.22
76
Residual Income
€35.09
€41.38
€55.92
76
Owner Earnings
€71.30
€104.27
€152.85
73
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
€71.30
€104.27
€152.85
73
5Y P/E Exit
€46.33
€69.06
€92.18
69
10Y P/E Exit
€46.85
€66.32
€88.95
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
€31.52
€85.65
€112.27
65
Lynch FV
€16.87
€24.10
€31.33
61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
€20.20
€42.00
€66.63
66
DDM Multi-Stage
€20.20
€31.56
€43.63
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
€45.19
€60.26
€75.32
63
P/B Multiple
€39.17
€52.22
€65.28
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€18.65
€24.99
€37.30
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
€49.86
€69.61
€97.22
76
Rev-Margin DCF
€39.14
€56.38
€75.65
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€35.09
€41.38
€55.92
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
74/100
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Profitability
51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+8.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.8% vs −83.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 36%
2025 sits 56% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 92.1%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.3% a year for the price and −5.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−24.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.5%
0SAY screens overvalued: fair value 12% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $112.09 | $52.29 | −53% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $93.18 | $29.26 | −69% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | $36.87 | $13.45 | −64% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $116.06 | $197.23 | +70% |
| State Street Corporation STT | $177.78 | $139.37 | −22% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $494.82 | $595.40 | +20% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $122.01 | $103.68 | −15% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $175.73 | $123.42 | −30% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $161.16 | $317.27 | +97% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €68.10 | €136.20 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is DWS Group (0SAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €60.26 versus a price of €68.20, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0SAY?
Our model-based fair value for DWS Group is €60.26 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €68.20.
What is the quality score of 0SAY?
DWS Group has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DWS Group (0SAY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €60.26 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €44.56, optimistic scenario €75.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DWS Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €60.26, about −12% upside versus a price of €68.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €44.56, optimistic scenario €75.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DWS Group (0SAY)?
DWS Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does DWS Group pay a dividend?
DWS Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.40% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into DWS Group (0SAY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, DWS Group would have to grow free cash flow by +12.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.4 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0SAY use?
Our models discount DWS Group at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.16, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For DWS Group that is +12.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has DWS Group (0SAY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at DWS Group grew +5.4 % a year. The price currently implies +12.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of DWS Group (0SAY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.16 %: that much free cash flow DWS Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of DWS Group (0SAY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DWS Group it is €60.26 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €68.20. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is DWS Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0SAY trades above its calculated fair value: price €68.20, fair value €60.26, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0SAY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€68.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€60.26). For DWS Group the two are €7.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DWS Group worth?
The market values DWS Group at about €13.6B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €68.20; our models calculate a fair value of €60.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0SAY?
Our models span a range for DWS Group: cautious scenario €44.56, base €60.26, optimistic €75.32 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €68.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0SAY from its 52-week high?
DWS Group trades at €68.20, about 12% below its 52-week high of €77.92 and 40% above the low of €48.62 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €60.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to DWS Group?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DWS Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €68.20, calculated fair value €60.26 (−12%), Quality Score 74/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0SAY calculated?
We run DWS Group through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €60.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. DWS Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of DWS Group (0SAY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €68.20. Our model-based fair value is €60.26, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with DWS Group right now?
For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of DWS Group
How large is the market capitalisation of DWS Group (0SAY)?
The market capitalisation of DWS Group is €13.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of DWS Group (0SAY)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of DWS Group is 0.2 (as of Aug 5, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of DWS Group (0SAY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DWS Group is 0.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of DWS Group (0SAY)?
Earnings per share at DWS Group are €3.99 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of DWS Group (0SAY)?
The dividend yield of DWS Group is 4.4% (payout 75.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of DWS Group (0SAY)?
The net margin of DWS Group is 21.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DWS Group (0SAY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DWS Group is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DWS Group (0SAY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DWS Group is 9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DWS Group (0SAY)?
The operating margin of DWS Group is 20.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DWS Group (0SAY)?
Revenue at DWS Group is growing +8.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at DWS Group (0SAY)?
Earnings per share at DWS Group are growing +10.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does DWS Group (0SAY) hold?
DWS Group holds more cash than debt, €863M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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