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Capinfo Company (1075) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$542M

CC Capinfo Company 1075 · HK
PriceHK$1.75
Fair ValueHK$1.15
Upside-34.2%
Quality73/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.89% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.8639 – HK$1.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$9.93 to HK$1.15 (−88.4%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −3.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$5.04 HK$1.57 Fair Value HK$1.15 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.57 – HK$5.04 · fair‑value band HK$0.8639 – HK$1.44 · the HK$1.75 price screens above the HK$1.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Capinfo Company (1075) currently trades at HK$1.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.15, implying the stock looks roughly 34.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Capinfo Company generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of 7.4%. Revenue grew 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$801M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.8639 (bear case) to HK$1.44 (bull case); at HK$1.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -34%, 1075 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$17.29 HK$24.18 HK$33.44 80
Residual Income HK$3.53 HK$3.84 HK$4.70 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$11.75 HK$15.58 HK$20.25 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$17.32 HK$24.73 HK$35.14 38
Owner Earnings HK$8.81 HK$11.76 HK$15.90 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$11.75 HK$15.41 HK$19.92 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$16.90 HK$25.40 HK$35.48 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$13.61 HK$19.01 HK$24.75 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$13.70 HK$17.52 HK$22.49 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$16.89 HK$23.98 HK$33.70 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$14.94 HK$19.85 HK$25.97 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$2.92 HK$10.76 HK$14.54 54
Lynch FV HK$2.57 HK$3.68 HK$4.78 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$2.57 HK$3.68 HK$4.78 46
EPV HK$7.30 HK$7.86 HK$8.33 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.8100 HK$1.47 HK$2.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.8100 HK$1.34 HK$1.57 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$9.03 HK$12.04 HK$15.05 63
P/S Multiple HK$5.48 HK$7.31 HK$9.14 58
P/B Multiple HK$5.48 HK$7.31 HK$9.14 55
EV/EBIT HK$13.56 HK$17.02 HK$20.48 53
EV/EBITDA HK$18.24 HK$23.26 HK$28.29 54
EV/Revenue HK$8.42 HK$10.67 HK$12.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.14 HK$2.87 HK$4.28 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$17.29 HK$24.18 HK$33.44 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$11.75 HK$15.58 HK$20.25 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$3.53 HK$3.84 HK$4.70 76
ROIC Compounder HK$7.55 HK$8.45 HK$9.39 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$5.80 HK$8.29 HK$10.77 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$19.01) versus Dividend Discount (HK$1.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.9%
Net margin 7.4%
Return on equity 11.8%
Free cash flow HK$415M FY2025
P/E ratio 3.8 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 0.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0300
Dividend yield 3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +931%
Net cash HK$801M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Capinfo Company Limited provides information technology (IT) services in the People's Republic of China. It offers software development and service, system integration, data processing services and information professional services.

Full company description

Capinfo Company Limited provides information technology (IT) services in the People's Republic of China. It offers software development and service, system integration, data processing services and information professional services. The company provides Shouxintong, a safe and open mobile platform, combined with the use of core technologies such as sandbox, cloud computing, big data, and microservices; VR visualization, data profiles, smart data search, customization of application, and multidimensional data analysis; cloud computing, digital technology services, and information technology innovation; IoT sensing systems and integrated services platform; and application for basic blockchain service products. In addition, it offers IT services to e-governance system, medical insurance and social security card system, the housing provident fund system, air quality monitoring system, community service information system, and credit settlement information systems. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Capinfo Company reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$124M in FY2025, compounding +61.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.7B
Latest YoY
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Revenue +4.0%/yr
FY21 HK$1.4B
FY22 HK$1.4B
FY23 HK$1.4B
FY24 HK$1.5B
FY25 HK$1.7B
Net income +61.2%/yr
FY21 HK$18.3M
FY22 HK$129M
FY23 −HK$72.9M
FY24 −HK$13.8M
FY25 HK$124M

1075 screens 34% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Capinfo Company · Fair Value
HK$1.15 −34%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Capinfo Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1075

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 488 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 30 · sector 31
PAST 47 · sector 35
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 78 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.98 $175.76 -26%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 300.07 MXN -88%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,350 ₹3,473 +48%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,176 ₹1,998 +70%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,365 ₹1,722 +26%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹183.94 ₹314.26 +71%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,625 ₹1,521 -6%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 235,500 KRW 235,321 KRW -0%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,474 ₹3,259 -40%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 433,000 KRW 186,323 KRW -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Capinfo Company (1075) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.15 versus a price of HK$1.75, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1075?
Our model-based fair value for Capinfo Company is HK$1.15 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.75.
What is the quality score of 1075?
Capinfo Company has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Capinfo Company (1075)?
Capinfo Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1075?
The net profit margin of Capinfo Company is about 7.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Capinfo Company pay a dividend?
Capinfo Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.89% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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