China New Energy Limited (1156) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · HK · Market cap HK$137M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +14.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 57% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0700 to HK$0.1700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0870 – HK$0.4600 · fair‑value band HK$0.0700 – HK$0.1700 · the HK$0.2800 price screens above the HK$0.1200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China New Energy Limited (1156) currently trades at HK$0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1200, implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, China New Energy Limited generated revenue of HK$85.9M at a net margin of -30.7%. Revenue grew 27.6% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$24.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0700 (bear case) to HK$0.1700 (bull case); at HK$0.2800, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 222% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -57%, 1156 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.1400) versus DCF Models (HK$0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China New Energy Limited, an investment holding company, provides ethanol production system technology integrated services in ethanol fuel and alcoholic beverage industries in the People's Republic of China, Myanmar, Indonesia, and internationally.
Full company description
China New Energy Limited, an investment holding company, provides ethanol production system technology integrated services in ethanol fuel and alcoholic beverage industries in the People's Republic of China, Myanmar, Indonesia, and internationally. The company offers engineering design, equipment manufacturing, installation and commissioning, and maintenance services for ethanol production system. It also provides fabrication and manufacture of equipment in accordance with project requirements and designs. In addition, the company engages in the provision of technology development services. China New Energy Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China New Energy Limited reported revenue of HK$85.9M in FY2025 versus HK$387M in FY2021, a compound −31.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$26.4M in FY2025.
1156 screens 57% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 193 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 488.45 MXN | -42% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $64.28 | $32.40 | -50% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $75.27 | $27.43 | -64% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $33.29 | $21.50 | -35% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $53.15 | $45.68 | -14% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥144.58 | ¥34.17 | -76% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.56 | €2.72 | -40% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 334.40 | kr 224.63 | -33% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.02 | ¥12.64 | +5% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €202.00 | €95.01 | -53% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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