Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd TWD 15.19, price TWD 18.70, upside -18.8%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
TongHwa Corporation purchases and sells polypropylene wall synthetic fibers in Taiwan. It is involved in the real estate leasing, and real estate development. The company was formerly known as Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Company Limited. TongHwa Corporation was founded in 1970 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418) currently trades at 18.70 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.19 TWD, 18.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 11.34 TWD (bear) to 22.68 TWD (bull), the price of 18.70 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.3M TWD in FY2025 versus 39.3M TWD in FY2021, a compound −39.3%/yr. Reported net income was −69.9M TWD in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −19%, 1418 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 11.34 TWDFair Value 15.19 TWDBull 22.68 TWD
Price 18.70 TWD · Upside -18.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−48.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−36.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−44.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −42.9% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−190.2% (2020) → −1,403.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 336 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−18.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth292.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1418
Frequently asked questions
Is Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.19 TWD versus a price of 18.70 TWD, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1418?
Our model-based fair value for Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd is 15.19 TWD (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 18.70 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1418?
Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 15.19 TWD (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.34 TWD, optimistic scenario 22.68 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 15.19 TWD, about −19% upside versus a price of 18.70 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 11.34 TWD, optimistic scenario 22.68 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.2M TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd it is 15.19 TWD per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 18.70 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, 1418 trades above its calculated fair value: price 18.70 TWD, fair value 15.19 TWD, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1418?
No. The price is what the market pays today (18.70 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (15.19 TWD). For Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd the two are 3.51 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd worth?
The market values Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd at about 1.0B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 18.70 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 15.19 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1418?
Our models span a range for Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd: cautious scenario 11.34 TWD, base 15.19 TWD, optimistic 22.68 TWD per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 18.70 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −6.7%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1418 from its 52-week high?
Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd trades at 18.70 TWD, about 13% below its 52-week high of 21.50 TWD and 9% above the low of 17.10 TWD (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 15.19 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 18.70 TWD, calculated fair value 15.19 TWD (−19%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1418 calculated?
We run Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 15.19 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was 18.70 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 15.19 TWD, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd right now?
Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (11.34 TWD to 22.68 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
The market capitalisation of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd is 1.0B TWD (≈ $31.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
Earnings per share at Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd are −1.47 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd is −1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
The operating margin of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd is −746% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
Revenue at Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd is growing +292% versus a year earlier (3y avg −36.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418)?
Earnings per share at Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd are growing −53.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418) generate?
The free cash flow of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd is −621M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd (1418) carry?
The net debt of Tong-Hwa Synthetic Fiber Co Ltd is 3.1B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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