Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd HK$4.00, price HK$2.90, upside +37.9%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
36‑month range HK$1.60 – HK$6.57 · fair‑value band HK$3.00 – HK$5.00 · the HK$2.90 price screens below the HK$4.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Tian Tu Capital Co., Ltd. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in small and medium sized companies in early-stage, growth capital, late stage, mature and Pre-IPO stages.
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Tian Tu Capital Co., Ltd. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in small and medium sized companies in early-stage, growth capital, late stage, mature and Pre-IPO stages. It primarily invests in the field of consumer products and brands sector covering consumer upgrade, innovative consumption, recreational, cultural and sports consumption, food, new retail, consumer retail, healthcare, biomedicine, artificial intelligence, life sciences, consumer finance, consumer technology and other areas closely related to consumer lifestyles. The firm primarily invests in China. The firm prefers to be a lead investor. It integrates ESG into its investment practice. Tian Tu Capital Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is based in Shenzhen, China with additional offices in Beijing, China; Shanghai, China; and Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973) currently trades at HK$2.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.00, implying the stock looks roughly 27.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 15 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$3.00 (bear) to HK$5.00 (bull), the price of HK$2.90 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd reported revenue of 47.4M CNY in FY2025 versus 2.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −60.9%/yr. Reported net income was 191M CNY in FY2025, compounding −28.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$2.0B (≈ $255M) · P/E ratio 7.3 · P/S ratio 29.4 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0122 · Net margin 269% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% · Operating margin 146%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 38%, 1973 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$3.00Fair Value HK$4.00Bull HK$5.00
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−65.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−47.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −23.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−23.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−23.3% vs −14.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.87% → 300%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 663 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Below median
Fair Value upside+37.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Return on assets−0.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)145.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth58.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1973
Frequently asked questions
Is Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.00 versus a price of HK$2.90, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1973?
Our model-based fair value for Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd is HK$4.00 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.90.
What is the quality score of 1973?
Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$4.00 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$3.00, optimistic scenario HK$5.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$4.00, about +38% upside versus a price of HK$2.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$3.00, optimistic scenario HK$5.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$21.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd it is HK$4.00 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$2.90. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1973 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$2.90, fair value HK$4.00, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1973?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$2.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$4.00). For Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd the two are HK$1.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd worth?
The market values Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd at about HK$2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$2.90; our models calculate a fair value of HK$4.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1973?
Our models span a range for Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$3.00, base HK$4.00, optimistic HK$5.00 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$2.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1973?
Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$4.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 11.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.9%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1973 from its 52-week high?
Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd trades at HK$2.90, about 20% below its 52-week high of HK$3.63 and 81% above the low of HK$1.60 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$4.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$2.90, calculated fair value HK$4.00 (+38%), Quality Score 55/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1973 calculated?
We run Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$4.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd currently trades 27 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$2.90. Our model-based fair value is HK$4.00, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.00). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
The market capitalisation of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd is HK$2.0B (≈ $255M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd is 29.4 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
Earnings per share at Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd are HK$−0.0122 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
The net margin of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd is 269% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
The operating margin of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd is 146% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
Revenue at Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd is growing +58.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −65.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973) generate?
The free cash flow of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd is −HK$83.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973) hold?
Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$364M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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