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Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$1.6B

TT Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd 1973 · HK
PriceHK$2.00
Fair ValueHK$4.00
Upside+100.0%
Quality55/100
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Weak Growth
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range HK$3.00 – HK$5.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −17.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.00). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

HK$6.57 HK$1.60 Fair Value HK$4.00 Oct 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

34‑month range HK$1.60 – HK$6.57 · fair‑value band HK$3.00 – HK$5.00 · the HK$2.00 price screens below the HK$4.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973) currently trades at HK$2.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.00, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$21.7M. Revenue grew 58.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$364M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$3.00 (bear case) to HK$5.00 (bull case); at HK$2.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 100%, 1973 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple HK$6.05 HK$8.06 HK$10.08 55
NCAV (Graham) HK$4.74 HK$6.36 HK$9.49 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple HK$6.05 HK$8.06 HK$10.08 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$4.74 HK$6.36 HK$9.49 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$8.06) versus Asset-Based (HK$6.36). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$21.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +58.7%
Net margin 269%
Return on equity 0.9%
Free cash flow −HK$83.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 7.3 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 146%
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0122
Net cash HK$364M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tian Tu Capital Co., Ltd. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in small and medium sized companies in early-stage, growth capital, late stage, mature and Pre-IPO stages.

Full company description

Tian Tu Capital Co., Ltd. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in small and medium sized companies in early-stage, growth capital, late stage, mature and Pre-IPO stages. It primarily invests in the field of consumer products and brands sector covering consumer upgrade, innovative consumption, recreational, cultural and sports consumption, food, new retail, consumer retail, healthcare, biomedicine, artificial intelligence, life sciences, consumer finance, consumer technology and other areas closely related to consumer lifestyles. The firm primarily invests in China. The firm prefers to be a lead investor. It integrates ESG into its investment practice. Tian Tu Capital Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is based in Shenzhen, China with additional offices in Beijing, China; Shanghai, China; and Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$47.4M in FY2025 versus HK$2.0B in FY2021, a compound −60.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$191M in FY2025, compounding −28.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$47.4M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−65.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−47.0%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.0%
Revenue −60.9%/yr
FY21 HK$2.0B
FY22 HK$1.2B
FY23 −HK$769M
FY24 −HK$662M
FY25 HK$47.4M
Net income −28.3%/yr
FY21 HK$720M
FY22 HK$559M
FY23 −HK$873M
FY24 −HK$891M
FY25 HK$191M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1973

Peer Group

Asset Management · 695 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Below median
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 146% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 59% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.3× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 9.37× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 14
PAST 4 · sector 25
HEALTH 96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 86

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,161 $465.75 -60%
Blackstone Inc BX $146.41 $52.88 -64%
Investor AB INVEB kr 417.90 kr 835.80 +100%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 544.00 kr 375.93 -31%
ICICIAMC ICICIAMC ₹3,077 ₹1,132 -63%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹256.05 ₹171.84 -33%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 321.44 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹11,579 ₹11,257 -3%
HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC ₹2,490 ₹866.78 -65%
Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA ₹1,182 ₹311.00 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.00 versus a price of HK$2.00, about +100% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1973?
Our model-based fair value for Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd is HK$4.00 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.00.
What is the quality score of 1973?
Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd (1973)?
Tian Tu Capital Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$21.7M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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