Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd HK$1.50, price HK$0.96, upside +56.3%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.6093 – HK$1.84 · fair‑value band HK$1.42 – HK$1.62 · the HK$0.9600 price screens below the HK$1.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Tsaker New Energy Tech Co., Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells fine chemicals. It operates through three segments: Dye and Agricultural Chemical Intermediates, Battery Materials, and Pigment Intermediates and New Materials.
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Tsaker New Energy Tech Co., Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells fine chemicals. It operates through three segments: Dye and Agricultural Chemical Intermediates, Battery Materials, and Pigment Intermediates and New Materials. The Dye and Agricultural Chemical Intermediates segment produces dye intermediate products for use in the production of dye related products, as well as products for use in the production of agricultural chemicals. The Battery Materials segment manufactures and sells battery materials. The Pigment Intermediates segment produces pigment intermediate products for the use in the production of pigments and monomer for production of new material products. It has operations in Mainland China, Indonesia, India, the United States, Germany, Brazil, Spain, Taiwan, Turkey, Japan, Pakistan, South Korea, Colombia, Mexico, Morocco, Switzerland, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Tsaker Chemical Group Limited and changed its name to Tsaker New Energy Tech Co., Limited July 2022. Tsaker New Energy Tech Co., Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986) currently trades at HK$0.9600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.50, implying the stock looks roughly 36.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.24 per share, and 12 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$0.9600 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.4400, and 4 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$1.42 (bear) to HK$1.62 (bull), the price of HK$0.9600 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −5.3M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$931M (≈ $119M) · P/S ratio 0.42 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin −0.3% · Return on equity 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% · Operating margin 2.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at 56%, 1986 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$1.42Fair Value HK$1.50Bull HK$1.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.37/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
15.7% (2020) → 2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.5% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 708 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+56.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Return on assets1.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−0.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−14.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1986
Frequently asked questions
Is Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.50 versus a price of HK$0.9600, about +56% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1986?
Our model-based fair value for Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd is HK$1.50 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.9600.
What is the quality score of 1986?
Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.50 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.42, optimistic scenario HK$1.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.50, about +56% upside versus a price of HK$0.9600 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.42, optimistic scenario HK$1.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.98% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -7.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1986 use?
Our models discount Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.23, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd that is -7.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd grew +8.5 % a year. The price currently implies -7.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (-7.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.24 %: that much free cash flow Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd it is HK$1.50 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.9600. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1986 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.9600, fair value HK$1.50, a gap of about +56% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1986?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.9600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.50). For Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd the two are HK$0.5400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd worth?
The market values Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd at about HK$931M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.9600; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.50 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1986?
Our models span a range for Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.42, base HK$1.50, optimistic HK$1.62 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.9600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.5%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1986 from its 52-week high?
Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd trades at HK$0.9600, about 17% below its 52-week high of HK$1.16 and 38% above the low of HK$0.6963 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.50 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.9600, calculated fair value HK$1.50 (+56%), Quality Score 54/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1986 calculated?
We run Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.50, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.9600. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.50, about +56% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band (HK$1.42 to HK$1.62), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
The market capitalisation of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd is HK$931M (≈ $119M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd is 0.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
Earnings per share at Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd are HK$0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
The dividend yield of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd is 2.0% (payout 190%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
The net margin of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd is −0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
The operating margin of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
Revenue at Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd is growing −14.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986)?
Earnings per share at Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd are growing −39.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd (1986) carry?
The net debt of Tsaker Chemical Group Ltd is 3.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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