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Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd stock ¥68.03, price ¥73.58, that is 7.5% below the price, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CN · ISIN CNE0000016J9

Some data Nov 4, 2026

Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd

600309 · SHG

Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Ranks above peers (10/13)

Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +25%, profit +85%.

Fair value ¥68.03 · Fairly valued (−7.5%)

Quality 48/100

Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +22.6 %/yr in CNY)

Thin margins · 7.8% net margin (TTM)

Moderate debt

1.7% dividend yield · Watch coverage

Moderate moat 51/100 · thin data

Some data

Negative free cash flow

⟳ Cyclical

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Anti-dumping duties on MDI exports🚩Antitrust lawsuits over MDI and TDI pricing

16 models, one by oneBear ¥51.02 to bull ¥85.04 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 48/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥52.53 – ¥123.09 · fair‑value band ¥51.02 – ¥85.04 · the ¥73.58 price screens above the ¥68.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of chemical products in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Polyurethane; Petrochemical; and Fine Chemicals and New Materials.

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The company offers isocyanates and polyether polyols; olefin derivatives and ethylene; functional chemicals, including specialty isocyanates, specialty amines, and intermediates; and new materials, such as thermoplastic polyurethane elastomers, polyolefin elastomers, polymethyl methacrylate, water treatment membranes, superabsorbent polymers, nylon elastomers, ultra-high voltage cable materials, and methyl methacrylate-styrene copolymers.

It also provides surface materials comprising coatings and adhesives raw materials, silicone intermediates, and finished adhesives, as well as synthetic leather, personal and home care, liquid silicone rubber, release agents, and bio-based chemicals; polymers; caustic soda, specialty PVC, and other chlorine products; flavorings, nutritional supplements, and pharmaceutical intermediates; and lithium iron phosphate, graphite anodes, battery-grade sulfates, N-methylpyrrolidone, polyacrylic acid, and other battery materials and related chemicals.

The company's products are used in homeware and furniture, sports and leisure, automobiles and transportation, building and construction, electronics and electrical appliances, personal care, and green energy industries. It exports its products.

The company was formerly known as Yantai Wanhua Polyurethanes Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. in June 2013. Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Yantai, China.

Stock analysis

Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309) currently trades at ¥73.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥68.03, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.2%).

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥107.78 per share, and 5 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥73.58 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥17.22, and 11 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥51.02 (bear) to ¥85.04 (bull), the price of ¥73.58 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 203B CNY in FY2025 versus 146B CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was 12.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding −15.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 231B CNY (≈ $34.7B) Large · P/E ratio 12.1 · P/S ratio 0.94 · EPS (TTM) ¥6.07 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 7.8% · Return on equity 17.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −8%, 600309 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥51.02 Fair Value ¥68.03 Bull ¥85.04

Price ¥73.58 · Downside -7.5%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥4.08 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Residual Income ¥29.22 ¥35.01 ¥46.53 76

EPV ¥36.64 ¥44.40 ¥51.24 74

ROIC Compounder ¥42.91 ¥65.65 ¥85.72 71

All 16 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ¥27.21 ¥189.77 ¥266.31 63

Lynch FV ¥61.57 ¥87.96 ¥114.34 61

PEG = 1.0 ¥61.57 ¥87.96 ¥114.34 57

EPV ¥36.64 ¥44.40 ¥51.24 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ¥30.52 ¥64.94 ¥105.87 66

DDM Multi-Stage ¥30.52 ¥54.01 ¥67.93 66

Multiples

P/E Multiple ¥51.02 ¥68.03 ¥85.04 63

P/S Multiple ¥51.02 ¥68.03 ¥85.04 58

P/B Multiple ¥57.83 ¥77.11 ¥96.38 55

EV/EBIT ¥33.82 ¥52.46 ¥71.09 65

EV/EBITDA ¥49.05 ¥72.76 ¥96.47 66

EV/Revenue ¥26.37 ¥47.13 ¥67.90 52

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥12.85 ¥17.22 ¥25.70 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income ¥29.22 ¥35.01 ¥46.53 76

ROIC Compounder ¥42.91 ¥65.65 ¥85.72 71

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ¥75.45 ¥107.78 ¥140.11 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 55

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 47

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 41

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 39

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 26

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 76

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 37

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 46

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 82

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

+11.6%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+7.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+22.6%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +26.4% a year

Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+22.9%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+6.0%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+4.3%

Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%

Per share before 2005divided by the spin-off factor 1.3004

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.3% vs 15.6%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 8%

Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Note from the team Oct 31, 2026

AI conclusion: The business shows moderate moat potential with strength in its core polyurethane and petrochemical segments but is weakened by negative free cash flow and elevated debt relative to equity.

Main risk: US anti-dumping duties on Chinese MDI could raise effective costs or restrict market access for Wanhua's exports and pressure margins in its core isocyanate business.

Bull case: By using its European production sites and coal-based cost advantages Wanhua could reroute supply to bypass duties and strengthen its position in battery materials and specialty resins.

Bear case: Persistent trade duties combined with legal costs might constrain export growth and erode margins in the MDI core limiting the shift to steadier specialty segments.

Wanhua Chemical just posted a sharp jump in third-quarter profit, driven by higher prices for MDI and petrochemical products amid global raw material shifts. This lifts near-term results across its polyurethane and related segments, yet raises whether those gains prove lasting or if expansion into battery materials and new chemicals will matter more for the longer run. Will the core operations sustain the momentum or will diversification change the growth profile?

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 726 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 48 · Below median

Fair Value upside −7.5% · Above median

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 17.6% · Top 25%

Return on assets 4.3% · Above median

Net margin (12 months) 7.8% · Above median

Operating margin (12 months) 12.5% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 24.8% · Above median

Dividend yield (12 months) 1.7% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.55× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 12.1× · Cheaper than median

P/B 2.44× · Pricier than median

P/S (12 months) 0.94× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)23 · sector 0

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 67

PAST (return on equity)70 · sector 27

HEALTH (low debt)73 · sector 95

DIVIDEND (yield)34 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303	249.00 TWD	442.40 TWD	+78%	vs 600309
Linde plc LIN	$524.74	$446.62	−15%	vs 600309
PPG Industries, Inc PPG	$127.27	$77.68	−39%	vs 600309
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT	₹2,524	₹1,479	−41%	vs 600309
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR	CHF 103.20	CHF 57.82	−44%	vs 600309
Sika AG SIKA	CHF 188.75	CHF 98.89	−48%	vs 600309
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW	$363.50	$146.37	−60%	vs 600309
Givaudan SA GIVN	CHF 4,105	CHF 1,554	−62%	vs 600309
EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG EMSN	CHF 859.50	CHF 284.63	−67%	vs 600309
Ecolab Inc ECL	$315.01	$96.56	−69%	vs 600309

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥68.03 versus a price of ¥73.58, about 8% lower (fairly valued).

What is the fair value of 600309?

Our model-based fair value for Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd is ¥68.03 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥73.58.

What is the quality score of 600309?

Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥68.03 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥51.02, optimistic scenario ¥85.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥68.03, about 8% lower versus a price of ¥73.58 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥51.02, optimistic scenario ¥85.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 245B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).

Does Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?

Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.70% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd it is ¥68.03 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of ¥73.58. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 4, 2026, 600309 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥73.58, fair value ¥68.03, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 600309?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥73.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥68.03). For Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd the two are ¥5.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd worth?

The market values Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd at about 231B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is ¥73.58; our models calculate a fair value of ¥68.03 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600309?

Our models span a range for Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥51.02, base ¥68.03, optimistic ¥85.04 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price ¥73.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 600309?

Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.1 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥68.03 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 17.2. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 5.8.

How solid is the balance sheet of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

Balance-sheet figures for Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 17.6%, debt of 0.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 600309 from its 52-week high?

Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd trades at ¥73.58, about 22% below its 52-week high of ¥94.32 and 20% above the low of ¥61.47 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥68.03 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd?

From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price ¥73.58, calculated fair value ¥68.03 (−8%), Quality Score 48/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 600309 calculated?

We run Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥68.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ¥73.58. Our model-based fair value is ¥68.03, about 8% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd right now?

The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Where does the earnings growth of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309) come from?

Earnings per share at Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd grew +20.9 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +24.1 %, EBIT margin −5.5 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

The market capitalisation of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd is 231B CNY (≈ $34.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd is 0.94 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

Earnings per share at Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd are ¥6.07 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

The dividend yield of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd is 1.7% (payout 20.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

The net margin of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd is 7.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd is 17.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd is 9.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

The operating margin of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

Revenue at Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd is growing +24.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309)?

Earnings per share at Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd are growing +84.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309) generate?

The free cash flow of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd is −5.8B CNY (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd (600309) carry?

The net debt of Wanhua Chemical Group Co Ltd is 69.1B CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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