Wanhua Chemical Group (600309) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 219B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +5.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥51.02 (bear) to ¥85.04 (bull), base ¥68.03. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥52.53 – ¥125.31 · fair‑value band ¥51.02 – ¥85.04 · the ¥74.97 price screens above the ¥68.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Wanhua Chemical Group (600309) currently trades at ¥74.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥68.03, implying the stock looks roughly 9.3% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Wanhua Chemical Group generated revenue of 214B CNY at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 25.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.0%. Net debt stands at 69.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥51.02 (bear case) to ¥85.04 (bull case); at ¥74.97, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -9%, 600309 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥114.69) versus Asset-Based (¥20.25). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of chemical products in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Polyurethane; Petrochemical; and Fine Chemicals and New Materials.
Full company description
Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of chemical products in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Polyurethane; Petrochemical; and Fine Chemicals and New Materials. The company offers isocyanates and polyether polyols; olefin derivatives and ethylene; functional chemicals, including specialty isocyanates, specialty amines, and intermediates; and new materials, such as thermoplastic polyurethane elastomers, polyolefin elastomers, polymethyl methacrylate, water treatment membranes, superabsorbent polymers, nylon elastomers, ultra-high voltage cable materials, and methyl methacrylate-styrene copolymers. It also provides surface materials comprising coatings and adhesives raw materials, silicone intermediates, and finished adhesives, as well as synthetic leather, personal and home care, liquid silicone rubber, release agents, and bio-based chemicals; polymers; caustic soda, specialty PVC, and other chlorine products; flavorings, nutritional supplements, and pharmaceutical intermediates; and lithium iron phosphate, graphite anodes, battery-grade sulfates, N-methylpyrrolidone, polyacrylic acid, and other battery materials and related chemicals. The company's products are used in homeware and furniture, sports and leisure, automobiles and transportation, building and construction, electronics and electrical appliances, personal care, and green energy industries. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Yantai Wanhua Polyurethanes Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. in June 2013. Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Yantai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wanhua Chemical Group reported revenue of ¥203B in FY2025 versus ¥146B in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥12.5B in FY2025, compounding −15.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Pentaerythritol Triacrylate (PETA) Reactive Diluent Market Global Report 2026 Published, A 250-Page Study Profiling BASF, Wanhua Chemical, E
- Wanhua Chmeical and IBU-tec signed a Joint Development Agreement for the development of a European LFP battery material, creating the basis
- COP29: Wanhua Chemical Reveals Multiple Innovations that Drive Carbon Neutrality in Chemical Industry Supply Chain
- Wanhua Chemical Launches Barcelona R&D Center, Unveiling Signified Focus and Commitment in Europe and Beyond
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 680 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $520.74 | $226.27 | -57% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
| Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM | ₹4,132 | ₹836.47 | -80% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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