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Linde plc (LIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $241B

LP Linde plc logo Linde plc LIN · US
Price$490.11
Fair Value$226.27
Upside-53.8%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 20.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.19% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 75/100
Evidence: High Range $123.21 – $295.86 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $225.55 to $226.27 (+0.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($295.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($123.21 to $295.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$546.64 $251.56 Fair Value $226.27 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $251.56 – $546.64 · fair‑value band $123.21 – $295.86 · the $490.11 price screens above the $226.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Linde plc (LIN) currently trades at $490.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $226.27, implying the stock looks roughly 53.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Linde plc generated revenue of $34.7B at a net margin of 20.4%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.2%. Net debt stands at $21.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $123.21 (bear case) to $295.86 (bull case); at $490.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -54%, LIN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $104.71 $195.71 $349.32 80
Residual Income $101.24 $130.78 $441.40 76
Rev-Margin DCF $94.38 $177.01 $275.31 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $102.77 $193.41 $343.93 38
Owner Earnings $111.11 $207.30 $367.02 31
5Y Revenue Exit $94.38 $177.65 $285.74 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $173.15 $329.12 $516.05 41
5Y P/E Exit $146.49 $277.85 $419.62 38
10Y Revenue Exit $91.86 $170.79 $280.85 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $148.02 $280.00 $465.42 37
10Y P/E Exit $130.45 $243.04 $388.14 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $101.45 $358.28 $482.14 54
Lynch FV $83.86 $119.80 $155.74 50
PEG = 1.0 $83.86 $119.80 $155.74 46
EPV $117.15 $143.79 $167.46 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $58.48 $127.68 $214.82 70
DDM Multi-Stage $58.48 $104.59 $133.06 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $223.79 $298.39 $372.99 63
P/S Multiple $137.83 $183.77 $229.71 58
P/B Multiple $186.12 $248.16 $310.20 55
EV/EBIT $227.09 $314.06 $401.02 53
EV/EBITDA $233.98 $323.24 $412.49 54
EV/Revenue $94.84 $149.97 $205.10 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $41.36 $55.42 $82.72 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $104.71 $195.71 $349.32 80
Rev-Margin DCF $94.38 $177.01 $275.31 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $101.24 $130.78 $441.40 76
ROIC Compounder $127.82 $181.81 $255.01 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $157.35 $224.78 $292.22 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($248.16) versus Asset-Based ($55.42). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $34.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.2%
Net margin 20.4%
Return on equity 18.2%
Free cash flow $5.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 34.1
More key figures
Operating margin 28.5%
EPS (TTM) $15.07
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.4%
Net debt $21.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Linde plc operates as an industrial gas company worldwide. It offers atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; and process gases, such as hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, electronic gases, specialty gases, and acetylene.

Full company description

Linde plc operates as an industrial gas company worldwide. It offers atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; and process gases, such as hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, electronic gases, specialty gases, and acetylene. The company also engages in designing and constructing of turnkey process plants for third-party customers, as well as for the gas businesses in various locations comprising air separation, hydrogen, synthesis, olefin, and natural gas plants. It serves healthcare, chemicals and energy, manufacturing, metals and mining, food and beverage, and electronics industries. The company operates in the United States, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Germany, the Unted Kingdom, Eastern Europe, China, Australia, South Korea, And India. Linde plc was founded in 1879 and is based in Woking, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Linde plc reported revenue of $34.0B in FY2025 versus $30.8B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $6.9B in FY2025, compounding +15.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$34.0B
Latest YoY
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+8.0%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 $30.8B
FY22 $33.4B
FY23 $32.9B
FY24 $33.0B
FY25 $34.0B
Net income +15.9%/yr
FY21 $3.8B
FY22 $4.1B
FY23 $6.2B
FY24 $6.6B
FY25 $6.9B

LIN screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Nan Ya Plastics Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Linde plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LIN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 680 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.54× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 6.30× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.95× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 47.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.18× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 41 · sector 19
PAST 73 · sector 23
HEALTH 73 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 24 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM ₹4,132 ₹836.47 -80%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Linde plc (LIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $226.27 versus a price of $490.11, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LIN?
Our model-based fair value for Linde plc is $226.27 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $490.11.
What is the quality score of LIN?
Linde plc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Linde plc (LIN)?
Linde plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $34.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LIN?
The net profit margin of Linde plc is about 20.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Linde plc pay a dividend?
Linde plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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