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Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd (2163) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$293M

CB Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd 2163 · HK
PriceHK$0.6000
Fair ValueHK$1.20
Upside+100.0%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -27.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 2/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$1.20 – HK$3.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

A solid business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.20). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$1.20 to HK$3.69). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$23.35 HK$0.4100 Fair Value HK$1.20 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4100 – HK$23.35 · fair‑value band HK$1.20 – HK$3.69 · the HK$0.6000 price screens below the HK$1.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd (2163) currently trades at HK$0.6000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.20, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.1B at a net margin of -27.7%. Revenue declined 10.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -19.1%. Net debt stands at HK$3.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.20 (bear case) to HK$3.69 (bull case); at HK$0.6000, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 100%, 2163 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$4.62 HK$5.90 HK$7.90 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$4.36 HK$6.67 HK$9.60 74
EV/EBITDA HK$3.07 HK$4.47 HK$5.87 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$4.50 HK$5.84 HK$8.15 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$4.36 HK$6.52 HK$9.73 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.43 HK$4.94 HK$6.99 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$4.27 HK$5.84 HK$7.54 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.91 HK$4.98 HK$6.10 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$3.07 HK$4.47 HK$5.87 54
EV/Revenue HK$4.69 HK$7.17 HK$9.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$3.02 HK$4.05 HK$6.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$4.62 HK$5.90 HK$7.90 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$4.36 HK$6.67 HK$9.60 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$5.90) versus Asset-Based (HK$4.05). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.1%
Net margin -27.7%
Return on equity -19.1%
Free cash flow HK$366M FY2023
Operating margin -16.6%
More key figures
Net debt HK$3.4B FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells prefabricated concrete (PC) units, PC equipment, and modular integrated products in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells prefabricated concrete (PC) units, PC equipment, and modular integrated products in the People's Republic of China. It offers engineering design and consultation services; cement products; construction services; develops and operates leisure tourism; project management services; and real estate leasing services, as well as researches, develops, and transfers intelligent technology. The company also provides intelligent equipment and other construction materials; sells of concrete structural components; and business management consulting services. Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Changsha, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years

Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.2B in FY2023 versus HK$3.4B in FY2019, a compound −10.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$389M in FY2023.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
HK$2.2B
Latest YoY
−1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Revenue −10.1%/yr
FY19 HK$3.4B
FY20 HK$2.5B
FY21 HK$3.1B
FY22 HK$2.2B
FY23 HK$2.2B
Net income
FY19 HK$677M
FY20 HK$216M
FY21 HK$32.4M
FY22 −HK$809M
FY23 −HK$389M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2163

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 834 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -28% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -17% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 19
FUTURE0 · sector 14
PAST0 · sector 26
HEALTH84 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,020 ₹1,994 -50%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 357,500 KRW 261,411 KRW -27%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 113,700 KRW 61,453 KRW -46%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 49,300 KRW 43,624 KRW -12%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹228.50 ₹48.92 -79%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 18,400 KRW 6,507 KRW -65%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 99,800 KRW 19,346 KRW -81%
GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 35,200 KRW 23,135 KRW -34%
DL E&C Co 375500 73,500 KRW 148,433 KRW +102%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 46,350 KRW 43,924 KRW -5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd (2163) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.20 versus a price of HK$0.6000, about +100% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2163?
Our model-based fair value for Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd is HK$1.20 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.6000.
What is the quality score of 2163?
Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd (2163)?
Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2163?
The net profit margin of Changsha Broad Homes Ind Group Ltd is about -27.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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