2245 (2245) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap HK$22.5B

2 2245 2245 · HK

PriceHK$14.39

Fair ValueHK$35.83

Upside+149.0%

Quality50/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$26.88 – HK$70.70

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price +23.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$9.25 – HK$28.16 · fair‑value band HK$26.88 – HK$70.70 · the HK$14.39 price screens below the HK$35.83 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2245 (2245) currently trades at HK$14.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$35.83 — implying the stock looks roughly 149.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 2245 generated revenue of HK$40.2B at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue grew 20.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.6%. Net debt stands at HK$8.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$40.2B

Revenue growth (YoY) +20.4%

Net margin 7.1%

Return on equity 24.6%

Free cash flow HK$1.7B FY2025

P/E ratio 6.8

More key figures

Operating margin 14.7%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.9200

Dividend yield 4.1%

EPS growth (YoY) +20.6%

Net debt HK$8.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2245 reported revenue of HK$40.2B in FY2025 versus HK$12.4B in FY2021, a compound +34.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.9B in FY2025, compounding +27.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +34.1%/yr

FY21 HK$12.4B

FY22 HK$18.3B

FY23 HK$21.1B

FY24 HK$29.2B

FY25 HK$40.2B

Net income +27.0%/yr

FY21 HK$1.1B

FY22 HK$1.7B

FY23 HK$1.1B

FY24 HK$1.8B

FY25 HK$2.9B

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Similar stocks

6 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHP	$93.15	$51.49	-45%
Rio Tinto Group RTNTF	$129.57	$77.65	-40%
RIO RIO	A$184.58	A$454.52	+146%
Grupo México, S.A. GMBXF	$11.89	$9.58	-19%
CMOC Group CMCLY	$148.88	$113.34	-24%
Vale S.A VALEN	260.19 MXN	161.77 MXN	-38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2245 (2245) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$35.83 versus a price of HK$14.39 — about +149% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 2245?

Our model-based fair value for 2245 is HK$35.83 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$14.39.

What is the quality score of 2245?

2245 has a Quality Score of 50/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 2245 (2245)?

2245 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$40.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 2245?

The net profit margin of 2245 is about 7.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 2245 pay a dividend?

2245 currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.09% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.