Lygend Resources & Technology Co (2245) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$22.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from HK$35.83 to HK$20.33 (−43.3%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +9.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 36% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$15.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$15.25 to HK$40.10). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range HK$4.07 – HK$28.16 · fair‑value band HK$15.25 – HK$40.10 · the HK$14.90 price screens below the HK$20.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Lygend Resources & Technology Co (2245) currently trades at HK$14.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$20.33, implying the stock looks roughly 36.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lygend Resources & Technology Co generated revenue of HK$40.2B at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue grew 20.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.6%. Net debt stands at HK$8.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$15.25 (bear case) to HK$40.10 (bull case); at HK$14.90, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 36%, 2245 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$79.08) versus Asset-Based (HK$5.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lygend Resources & Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, smelting, and trading of nickel products in Mainland China and internationally. It provides nickel ores, ferronickel, mixed hydroxide precipitates, cobalt sulfates, and electrodeposited cobalts.
Full company description
Lygend Resources & Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, smelting, and trading of nickel products in Mainland China and internationally. It provides nickel ores, ferronickel, mixed hydroxide precipitates, cobalt sulfates, and electrodeposited cobalts. The company also manufactures, exports, and sells machinery and equipment for core smelting, including ferronickel furnaces, submerged arc furnaces, and electric arc furnaces, etc.; provides technical support; and trades in laterite nickel ore, send, and ferronickel. In addition, it offers new energy technological development; logistics and shipping services; project management; industrial real estate business services; and business management services. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lygend Resources & Technology Co reported revenue of HK$40.2B in FY2025 versus HK$12.4B in FY2021, a compound +34.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.9B in FY2025, compounding +27.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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