Edianyun Ltd (2416) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Edianyun Ltd HK$8.28, price HK$2.95, upside +180.7%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
40‑month range HK$1.03 – HK$14.12 · fair‑value band HK$5.43 – HK$10.35 · the HK$2.95 price screens below the HK$8.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Edianyun Limited, an investment holding company, provides office internet technology integrated solutions to small-and medium-sized enterprises in the People's Republic of China.
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Edianyun Limited, an investment holding company, provides office internet technology integrated solutions to small-and medium-sized enterprises in the People's Republic of China. The company offers one-stop office IT services on a subscription basis, which include the provision of IT devices, such as desktops, laptops, and monitors pre-installed with operating systems; and selected software, including office suite, drivers, antivirus programs, and instant messengers, as well as office IT management tools comprising printer autoconfiguration programs. It also provides managed IT services, including device configuration; device/engineer deployment; operation and maintenance support; performance optimization; data migration; back-up and erasing; and various device management services, such as order placement, subscription management, on-site inspection, and bulk shipment of devices. In addition, the company offers Epandian, a SaaS product designed to help enterprise customers manage assets and inventories from asset procurement and storage to usage and disposal, as well as sell devices and computer accessories directly to customers through the internet. Further, it provides IT technology development and consulting; computer hardware and software development; and IT device leasing services, as well as recycles and reuses IT devices. Edianyun Limited was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Edianyun Ltd (2416) currently trades at HK$2.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.28, implying the stock looks roughly 64.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$8.62 per share, and 19 of the 23 models we run sit above the HK$2.95 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$2.10, and 4 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$5.43 (bear) to HK$10.35 (bull), the price of HK$2.95 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Edianyun Ltd reported revenue of 1.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 127M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.6B (≈ $200M) · P/E ratio 10.1 · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0900 · Net margin 8.7% · Return on equity 10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% · Operating margin 21.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at 181%, 2416 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$5.43Fair Value HK$8.28Bull HK$10.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0676 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.87/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
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’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.4% (2020) → 19.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 470 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Below median
Fair Value upside+180.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.1% · Above median
Return on assets4.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)21.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.58× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Edianyun Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2416
Frequently asked questions
Is Edianyun Ltd (2416) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$8.28 versus a price of HK$2.95, about +181% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2416?
Our model-based fair value for Edianyun Ltd is HK$8.28 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.95.
What is the quality score of 2416?
Edianyun Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$8.28 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$5.43, optimistic scenario HK$10.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Edianyun Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$8.28, about +181% upside versus a price of HK$2.95 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$5.43, optimistic scenario HK$10.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
Edianyun Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Edianyun Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +6.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.4 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2416 use?
Our models discount Edianyun Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Edianyun Ltd that is +6.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Edianyun Ltd (2416) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Edianyun Ltd grew +12.4 % a year. The price currently implies +6.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Edianyun Ltd (2416) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Edianyun Ltd (+6.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.31 %: that much free cash flow Edianyun Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Edianyun Ltd it is HK$8.28 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$2.95. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Edianyun Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2416 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$2.95, fair value HK$8.28, a gap of about +181% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2416?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$2.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$8.28). For Edianyun Ltd the two are HK$5.33 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Edianyun Ltd worth?
The market values Edianyun Ltd at about HK$1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$2.95; our models calculate a fair value of HK$8.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2416?
Our models span a range for Edianyun Ltd: cautious scenario HK$5.43, base HK$8.28, optimistic HK$10.35 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$2.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2416?
Edianyun Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$8.28 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 2.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
Balance-sheet figures for Edianyun Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 10.1%, debt of 0.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2416 from its 52-week high?
Edianyun Ltd trades at HK$2.95, about 41% below its 52-week high of HK$5.00 and 55% above the low of HK$1.90 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$8.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Edianyun Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Edianyun Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$2.95, calculated fair value HK$8.28 (+181%), Quality Score 55/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2416 calculated?
We run Edianyun Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$8.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Edianyun Ltd currently trades 64 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$2.95. Our model-based fair value is HK$8.28, about +181% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Edianyun Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$5.43). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$5.43 to HK$10.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Edianyun Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
The market capitalisation of Edianyun Ltd is HK$1.6B (≈ $200M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Edianyun Ltd is 0.88 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
Earnings per share at Edianyun Ltd are HK$0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
The net margin of Edianyun Ltd is 8.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Edianyun Ltd is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Edianyun Ltd is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
The operating margin of Edianyun Ltd is 21.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
Revenue at Edianyun Ltd is growing +12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Edianyun Ltd (2416)?
Earnings per share at Edianyun Ltd are growing +99.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Edianyun Ltd (2416) carry?
The net debt of Edianyun Ltd is 1.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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