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2465 (2465) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · Market cap HK$9.6B

2 2465 2465 · HK
PriceHK$12.12
Fair ValueHK$3.53
Upside-70.9%
Quality45/100
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Evidence: Medium Range HK$1.67 – HK$5.39

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated today

Share price −17.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$22.96 HK$6.05 Fair Value HK$3.53 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$6.05 – HK$22.96 · fair‑value band HK$1.67 – HK$5.39 · the HK$12.12 price screens above the HK$3.53 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2465 (2465) currently trades at HK$12.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.53 — implying the stock looks roughly 70.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 2465 generated revenue of HK$10.8B at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 119.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at HK$3.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$10.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +120%
Net margin 0.6%
Return on equity 4.4%
Free cash flow −HK$572M FY2025
P/E ratio 151.5
More key figures
Operating margin 10.3%
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.3242
Net debt HK$3.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2465 reported revenue of HK$8.9B in FY2025 versus HK$4.1B in FY2021, a compound +21.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$171M in FY2025.

Revenue +21.9%/yr
FY21 HK$4.1B
FY22 HK$14.1B
FY23 HK$8.7B
FY24 HK$7.7B
FY25 HK$8.9B
Net income
FY21 HK$351M
FY22 HK$753M
FY23 −HK$1.2B
FY24 −HK$642M
FY25 −HK$171M

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Similar stocks

6 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,291 ₹812.28 -37%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $262.01 $129.07 -51%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $257.99 $109.18 -58%
Phillips 66 PSX $183.08 $50.63 -72%
Neste Oyj NESTE €28.13 €6.38 -77%
ENEOS Holdings JXHLY $15.31 $17.72 +16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2465 (2465) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.53 versus a price of HK$12.12 — about −71% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 2465?
Our model-based fair value for 2465 is HK$3.53 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$12.12.
What is the quality score of 2465?
2465 has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 2465 (2465)?
2465 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$10.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2465?
The net profit margin of 2465 is about 0.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.