ENEOS Holdings (JXHLY) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $22.1B
ENEOS Holdings
JXHLY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from $13.29 (bear) to $22.15 (bull), base $17.72. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.42 – $19.28 · fair‑value band $13.29 – $22.15 · the $15.96 price screens below the $17.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
ENEOS Holdings (JXHLY) currently trades at $15.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.72, implying the stock looks roughly 11.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, ENEOS Holdings generated revenue of $11.8T at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue declined 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at $1.7T. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $13.29 (bear case) to $22.15 (bull case); at $15.96, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 11%, JXHLY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($20.30) versus Earnings-Based ($7.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ENEOS Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the energy, oil and natural gas exploration and production, and metals businesses in Japan, China, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Petroleum Products, Oil and Natural Gas E&P, High Performance Materials, Electricity, Renewable Energy, and Other Segments.
Full company description
ENEOS Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the energy, oil and natural gas exploration and production, and metals businesses in Japan, China, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Petroleum Products, Oil and Natural Gas E&P, High Performance Materials, Electricity, Renewable Energy, and Other Segments. The Petroleum Products segment offers petroleum refining & marketing, basic chemical products, lubricants, gas, and hydrogen. The Oil and Natural Gas E&P provides oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production, carbon dioxide capture, transport, storage, and utilization. The High-Performance Materials segment provides synthetic rubber, special synthetic rubber, secondary buttery materials, emulsion, thermoplastic elastomer, high functional monomer, and high functional polymer. The Electricity segment offers power generation business, procurement and sale of electricity, city gas, overseas renewable energy, and VPP. The Renewable Energy segment provides wind power generation, solar power generation, and biomass power generation. The Other segment offers asphalt paving, civil engineering work, construction work, real estate leasing business, and fund procurement. Additionally, it engages in the asphalt paving, civil engineering, construction, land transportation; rail transportation of oil products; and real estate leasing, sale and purchase, and management. ENEOS Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
ENEOS Holdings reported revenue of $12.5T in FY2026 versus $10.9T in FY2022, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was $274B in FY2026, compounding −15.5%/yr from FY2022.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Jimmy Oakes & ENEOS Debuted Ferrari-Powered Porsche 911!
- Marsh ENEOS Deal Tests Acquisition Driven Growth In Japanese Insurance Market
- Chevron to Divest Some Asia-Pacific Assets to Japan's Eneos
- Why Chevron (CVX) Is Up 5.2% After Asia Asset Sale To ENEOS And Oil-Price Tailwind
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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