2516 (2516) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$983M

2 2516 2516 · HK

PriceHK$1.05

Fair ValueHK$0.1400

Upside-86.7%

Quality51/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$0.1000 – HK$0.1800

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated today

Share price −12.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.5100 – HK$1.38 · fair‑value band HK$0.1000 – HK$0.1800 · the HK$1.05 price screens above the HK$0.1400 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2516 (2516) currently trades at HK$1.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1400 — implying the stock looks roughly 86.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 2516 generated revenue of HK$2.0B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 23.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at HK$78.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.0B

Revenue growth (YoY) -23.8%

Net margin 0.3%

Return on equity 0.4%

Free cash flow HK$156M FY2026

P/E ratio 105.0

More key figures

Operating margin 3.3%

EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0200

EPS growth (YoY) -38.9%

Net debt HK$78.9M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

2516 reported revenue of HK$2.0B in FY2026 versus HK$1.4B in FY2022, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$5.1M in FY2026, compounding −39.0%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +10.1%/yr

FY22 HK$1.4B

FY23 HK$1.5B

FY24 HK$2.0B

FY25 HK$3.0B

FY26 HK$2.0B

Net income −39.0%/yr

FY22 HK$36.9M

FY23 HK$25.8M

FY24 HK$27.3M

FY25 HK$69.3M

FY26 HK$5.1M

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Similar stocks

6 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
FedEx Corporation FDX	€288.80	€233.43	-19%
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS	$108.54	$72.43	-33%
Deutsche Post AG DPSTF	$60.85	$74.58	+23%
DSV DSV	kr 1,540	kr 712.57	-54%
DSDVF DSDVF	$233.10	$107.85	-54%
DSDVY DSDVY	$116.58	$51.97	-55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2516 (2516) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1400 versus a price of HK$1.05 — about −87% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 2516?

Our model-based fair value for 2516 is HK$0.1400 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.05.

What is the quality score of 2516?

2516 has a Quality Score of 51/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 2516 (2516)?

2516 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 2516?

The net profit margin of 2516 is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.