FAR International Holdings (2516) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$983M
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from HK$0.1400 to HK$0.2800 (+100.0%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price −18.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2000 to HK$0.3800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
32‑month range HK$0.3900 – HK$1.63 · fair‑value band HK$0.2000 – HK$0.3800 · the HK$0.7900 price screens above the HK$0.2800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
FAR International Holdings (2516) currently trades at HK$0.7900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 64.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, FAR International Holdings generated revenue of HK$2.0B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 23.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at HK$78.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2000 (bear case) to HK$0.3800 (bull case); at HK$0.7900, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -65%, 2516 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.04) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
FAR International Holdings Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides cross-border e-commerce logistics services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Full company description
FAR International Holdings Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides cross-border e-commerce logistics services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers end-to-end cross-border delivery services, including parcel reception, warehousing, security clearance, packaging, labeling, and sorting services; and freight forwarding and other logistics services, such as freight forwarding, customs clearance, parcel pick-up from air/seaports, warehouse operation, and transportation and last-mile delivery services. The company also provides a range of value-added supply chain solutions comprising customs clearance/collection/distribution, industry, and OGP/OSP solutions. It offers freight forwarding services through air, sea, and ground transportation delivery methods. The company serves e-commerce platforms, e-commerce sellers, other logistics service providers, and traditional traders. FAR International Holdings Group Company Limited was founded in 2004 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
FAR International Holdings reported revenue of HK$2.0B in FY2026 versus HK$1.4B in FY2022, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$5.1M in FY2026, compounding −39.0%/yr from FY2022.
2516 screens 65% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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