China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co HK$0.77, price HK$0.63, upside +22.2%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2190 – HK$1.32 · fair‑value band HK$0.5800 – HK$0.9600 · the HK$0.6300 price screens below the HK$0.7700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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China CITIC Financial Asset Management Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a financial asset management company in Mainland China and Hong Kong. It operates through Distressed Asset Management; and Asset Management and Investment segments.
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China CITIC Financial Asset Management Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a financial asset management company in Mainland China and Hong Kong. It operates through Distressed Asset Management; and Asset Management and Investment segments. The company engages in the acquisition of, management, investment, and disposal services through entrustment of both financial and non-financial institution distressed assets, including debt-to-equity swap assets; investment; securities dealing; and financial bond issuance. It also provides interbank borrowing and lending, and commercial financing for other financial institutions; bankruptcy management; consulting and advisory business for finance, investment, legal, and risk management; and asset and project evaluation services. In addition, the company is involved in approved asset securitization business, financial institution custody, closing, and liquidation of business; and other businesses. Further, it engages in the relief and revitalization business, equity business, and assets acquisition-and-restructuring business. The company was formerly known as China Huarong Asset Management Co., Ltd. and changed its name to China CITIC Financial Asset Management Co., Ltd. in January 2024. China CITIC Financial Asset Management Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799) currently trades at HK$0.6300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7700, implying the stock looks roughly 18.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 15 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.5800 (bear) to HK$0.9600 (bull), the price of HK$0.6300 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co reported revenue of 22.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 66.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −23.7%/yr. Reported net income was 10.9B CNY in FY2025, compounding +61.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$50.6B (≈ $6.4B) · P/E ratio 3.8 · P/S ratio 1.87 · Net margin 48.6% · Return on equity 19.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% · Operating margin 0.0% · Revenue (TTM) −HK$12.2B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 22%, 2799 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.5800Fair Value HK$0.7700Bull HK$0.9600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+123.1%
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+39.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+39.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28.5% vs −10.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.75% → 115%
2025 sits 91% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 18.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 662 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+22.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets1.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)48.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−90.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity8.54× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2799
Frequently asked questions
Is China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7700 versus a price of HK$0.6300, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2799?
Our model-based fair value for China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co is HK$0.7700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.6300.
What is the quality score of 2799?
China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.7700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.5800, optimistic scenario HK$0.9600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.7700, about +22% upside versus a price of HK$0.6300 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.5800, optimistic scenario HK$0.9600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co it is HK$0.7700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.6300. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2799 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.6300, fair value HK$0.7700, a gap of about +22% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2799?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.6300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.7700). For China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co the two are HK$0.1400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co worth?
The market values China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co at about HK$50.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.6300; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.7700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2799?
Our models span a range for China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co: cautious scenario HK$0.5800, base HK$0.7700, optimistic HK$0.9600 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.6300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2799?
China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.7700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, EV/EBITDA 13.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 19.1%, debt of 8.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2799 from its 52-week high?
China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co trades at HK$0.6300, about 41% below its 52-week high of HK$1.07 and 15% above the low of HK$0.5500 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.7700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.6300, calculated fair value HK$0.7700 (+22%), Quality Score 43/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2799 calculated?
We run China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.7700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.6300. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.7700, about +22% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co
How large is the market capitalisation of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
The market capitalisation of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co is HK$50.6B (≈ $6.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co is 1.87 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
The net margin of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co is 48.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co is 19.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
The operating margin of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co is 0.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799) generate?
China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co generates revenue of −HK$12.2B (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
Revenue at China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co is growing −90.3% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799)?
Earnings per share at China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co are growing +13.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799) generate?
The free cash flow of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co is −31.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co (2799) carry?
The net debt of China Huarong Asset Mgmt Co is 895B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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