Tong Petrotech Corp (300164) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CN · Market cap 5.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price +42.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 90% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥0.7100 to ¥1.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.17 – ¥24.56 · fair‑value band ¥0.7100 – ¥1.32 · the ¥10.79 price screens above the ¥1.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Tong Petrotech Corp (300164) currently trades at ¥10.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.04, implying the stock looks roughly 90.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tong Petrotech Corp generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue declined 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at 160M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.7100 (bear case) to ¥1.32 (bull case); at ¥10.79, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -90%, 300164 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.60) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tong Petrotech Corp. provides technical support and services for oil and gas exploration and development in China and internationally. The company also manufactures and sells equipment for oil drilling and production; and sells civilian explosives, gas and liquid separation, and purification equipment.
Full company description
Tong Petrotech Corp. provides technical support and services for oil and gas exploration and development in China and internationally. The company also manufactures and sells equipment for oil drilling and production; and sells civilian explosives, gas and liquid separation, and purification equipment. In addition, It offers integrated technical services, including directional drilling, logging, perforation, and fracturing. The company was formerly known as Tong Oil Tools Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Tong Petrotech Corp. in June 2019. Tong Petrotech Corp. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Xi'an, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tong Petrotech Corp reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥747M in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥36.6M in FY2025, compounding +25.9%/yr from FY2021.
300164 screens 90% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 533.97 MXN | -36% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $55.95 | $33.55 | -40% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $74.57 | $27.57 | -63% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $35.22 | $21.50 | -39% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $57.16 | $45.68 | -20% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥138.79 | ¥34.17 | -75% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.20 | €2.72 | -35% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 319.00 | kr 227.98 | -29% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.08 | ¥12.64 | +5% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €188.10 | €95.01 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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