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Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech stock ¥2.08, price ¥4.78, upside -56.5%, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology CN · ISIN CNE1000015P6

SD Shanghai Dragonnet Tech logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Shanghai Dragonnet Tech

300245 · SHE
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 56% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 58/100
Revenue last quarter 24% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥2.08 · Strongly overvalued (−56.5%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.0 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -7.2% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 14/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥27.72 ¥4.68 Fair Value ¥2.08 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.68 – ¥27.72 · fair‑value band ¥1.37 – ¥2.60 · the ¥4.78 price screens above the ¥2.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Shanghai DragonNet Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the provision of information technology (IT) services, infrastructure localization, and smart industry application solutions in China and internationally.

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The company offers IT support and maintenance services, such as system environment check, equipment health check, technical support response, fault resolution, parts replacement, and other support services; IT outsourcing services comprising on-site, and remote and system hosting operation and maintenance services; and IT professional consulting and technical implementation services, including system consulting, design, evaluation, development, tuning, integration, upgrade, and relocation services, as well as equipment configuration, and other implementation services for data center IT infrastructure, industry users, and IT business application systems.

It is also involved in the provision of IT software services, such as software and software modules development, as well as installation, debugging, testing, training, software developer outsourcing, etc.; and engages in the agency sale of third-party software, and hardware equipment and spare parts.

In addition, the company offers PBData, a database all-in-one machine with cloud platform which helps enterprises in minimizing TCO and simplifying IT operation and maintenance; PriData, a hyper-converged all-in-one machine that provides real private cloud capabilities based on virtualization and IT resource delivery services; and PhegData, a distributed storage platform, for realizing product delivery based on domestically produced server chips and operating systems.

Shanghai DragonNet Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245) currently trades at ¥4.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.08, 56.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ¥1.37 (bear) to ¥2.60 (bull), the price of ¥4.78 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Shanghai Dragonnet Tech reported revenue of 467M CNY in FY2025 versus 542M CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was −30.9M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.5B CNY (≈ $225M) Micro · P/S ratio 3.28 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2200 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −6.6% · Return on equity −2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.8% · Operating margin −64.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 35% fair-value upside, at −56%, 300245 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.37 Fair Value ¥2.08 Bull ¥2.60
Price ¥4.78 · Upside -56.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.37 ¥2.08 ¥2.60 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.37 ¥2.08 ¥2.60 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 9
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 30
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 86
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 52
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 14
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 8/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.7% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.8% (2020) → −6.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300245 screens overvalued: fair value 56% below the price. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 485 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −56.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −7.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −64.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −24.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.22× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 3.37× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)1 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Dragonnet Tech Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300245

Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.08 versus a price of ¥4.78, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300245?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Dragonnet Tech is ¥2.08 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.78.
What is the quality score of 300245?
Shanghai Dragonnet Tech has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.08 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.37, optimistic scenario ¥2.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Dragonnet Tech stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.08, about −56% upside versus a price of ¥4.78 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.37, optimistic scenario ¥2.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
Shanghai Dragonnet Tech reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 445M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Shanghai Dragonnet Tech pay a dividend?
Shanghai Dragonnet Tech currently shows a dividend yield of 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Dragonnet Tech it is ¥2.08 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of ¥4.78. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanghai Dragonnet Tech stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, 300245 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.78, fair value ¥2.08, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300245?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.78); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.08). For Shanghai Dragonnet Tech the two are ¥2.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Dragonnet Tech worth?
The market values Shanghai Dragonnet Tech at about 1.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.78; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300245?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Dragonnet Tech: cautious scenario ¥1.37, base ¥2.08, optimistic ¥2.60 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price ¥4.78). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −2.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300245 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Dragonnet Tech trades at ¥4.78, about 69% below its 52-week high of ¥15.43 and at the low of ¥4.78 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Dragonnet Tech?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Dragonnet Tech stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price ¥4.78, calculated fair value ¥2.08 (−56%), Quality Score 58/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300245 calculated?
We run Shanghai Dragonnet Tech through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Dragonnet Tech itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was ¥4.78. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.08, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Dragonnet Tech right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥1.37 to ¥2.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech

How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech is 1.5B CNY (≈ $225M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech is 3.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Dragonnet Tech are ¥−0.2200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
The dividend yield of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
The net margin of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech is −6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech is −2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech is −2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech is −64.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245)?
Revenue at Shanghai Dragonnet Tech is growing −24.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Shanghai Dragonnet Tech (300245) generate?
The free cash flow of Shanghai Dragonnet Tech is −102M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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