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Ningbo David Medical Device Co (300314) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 2.8B CNY

ND Ningbo David Medical Device Co 300314 · SHE
Price¥10.54
Fair Value¥5.99
Upside-43.2%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.83% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.13 – ¥7.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 33 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥6.19 to ¥5.99 (−3.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.78 ¥8.60 Fair Value ¥5.99 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.60 – ¥21.78 · fair‑value band ¥4.13 – ¥7.19 · the ¥10.54 price screens above the ¥5.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Ningbo David Medical Device Co (300314) currently trades at ¥10.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.99, implying the stock looks roughly 43.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo David Medical Device Co generated revenue of 576M CNY at a net margin of 12.9%. Revenue declined 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 339M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.13 (bear case) to ¥7.19 (bull case); at ¥10.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -43%, 300314 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.05 ¥3.89 ¥5.17 80
Residual Income ¥3.42 ¥3.58 ¥3.77 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.78 ¥5.39 ¥7.34 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.05 ¥3.93 ¥5.32 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.96 ¥5.44 ¥7.75 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.78 ¥5.43 ¥7.63 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.45 ¥6.74 ¥9.55 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.10 ¥8.02 ¥11.26 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.42 ¥4.86 ¥6.98 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.92 ¥5.77 ¥8.48 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.34 ¥6.67 ¥9.82 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.06 ¥8.02 ¥10.87 54
Lynch FV ¥1.97 ¥2.81 ¥3.66 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.97 ¥2.81 ¥3.66 46
EPV ¥3.99 ¥4.36 ¥4.68 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.7600 ¥1.52 ¥2.31 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.7600 ¥1.32 ¥1.61 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.99 ¥6.65 ¥8.31 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.85 ¥5.14 ¥6.42 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.85 ¥5.14 ¥6.42 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.29 ¥6.49 ¥7.69 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.57 ¥6.86 ¥8.16 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.25 ¥5.36 ¥6.46 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.14 ¥2.87 ¥4.28 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.05 ¥3.89 ¥5.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.78 ¥5.39 ¥7.34 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.42 ¥3.58 ¥3.77 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.99 ¥4.43 ¥5.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.63 ¥5.18 ¥6.74 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.44) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.32). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 576M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.9%
Net margin 12.9%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow 34.2M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 38.0
More key figures
Operating margin 11.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2600
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -56.3%
Net cash 339M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ningbo David Medical Device Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of pediatric childcare equipment, surgical instruments and other products worldwide. The company provides infant incubators, transport incubators, infant radiant warmers, neonate bilirubin phototherapy equipment, infant resuscitators, etc.

Full company description

Ningbo David Medical Device Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of pediatric childcare equipment, surgical instruments and other products worldwide. The company provides infant incubators, transport incubators, infant radiant warmers, neonate bilirubin phototherapy equipment, infant resuscitators, etc. It offers infusion pumps, transcutaneous jaundice detectors, infant t-piece resuscitators, air/oxygen blenders, low pressure aspirators, and infant oxygen hoods. The company offers its products under David brand name. The company founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo David Medical Device Co reported revenue of ¥584M in FY2025 versus ¥474M in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥87.1M in FY2025, compounding +2.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
584M CNY
Latest YoY
+10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 ¥474M
FY22 ¥506M
FY23 ¥618M
FY24 ¥527M
FY25 ¥584M
Net income +2.1%/yr
FY21 ¥80.2M
FY22 ¥97.4M
FY23 ¥148M
FY24 ¥57.3M
FY25 ¥87.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +7.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.5 pp

of which total revenue +10.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp

EBIT margin −2.6 pp
Tax rate +0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

300314 screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo David Medical Device Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300314

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 352 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −43% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 38.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.31× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 12.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 28.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 29
PAST 24 · sector 8
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 17 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo David Medical Device Co (300314) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.99 versus a price of ¥10.54, about −43% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300314?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo David Medical Device Co is ¥5.99 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.54.
What is the quality score of 300314?
Ningbo David Medical Device Co has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ningbo David Medical Device Co (300314)?
Ningbo David Medical Device Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 576M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300314?
The net profit margin of Ningbo David Medical Device Co is about 12.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ningbo David Medical Device Co pay a dividend?
Ningbo David Medical Device Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.83% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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