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Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Winner Information Technology Co Inc ¥3.47, price ¥23.67, upside -85.3%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100002PV5

WI Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Winner Information Technology Co Inc

300609 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥3.47 · Strongly overvalued (−85.3%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +7.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -31.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 1 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

¥59.88 ¥11.45 Fair Value ¥3.47 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.45 – ¥59.88 · fair‑value band ¥3.11 – ¥3.83 · the ¥23.67 price screens above the ¥3.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Winner Technology Co., Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI) and big data application solutions.

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Winner Technology Co., Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI) and big data application solutions. The company offers digital marketplace solutions comprising AI customer flow solutions, big data service solutions for shopping malls, AI-powered indoor navigation systems, and metaverse construction operations programs; and digital store solutions, such as Smart Stores AI customer flow solutions, big data service solutions for brand stores, smart store AI remote inspection solutions, and intelligence store AI business display solutions. It also provides digital government solutions, including city/ municipalities commerce big data platforms, urban/city public space analysis platforms, government hotline data governance and analysis platforms, government online-offline Shanghai, digital comprehensive research and analysis platform, and platform for integrated governance and application development for government data; and digital political solutions consisting of smart court systems, smart mediation rooms, intelligent litigation service centers, electronic file single set systems, and electronic files digital number lifecycle management solutions. Winner Technology Co., Inc. was formerly known as Winner Information Technology Co., Inc. and changed its name to Winner Technology Co., Inc. in August 2018. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609) currently trades at ¥23.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.47, 85.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥5.23 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥23.67 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥3.77, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥3.11 (bear) to ¥3.83 (bull), the price of ¥23.67 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Winner Information Technology Co Inc reported revenue of 307M CNY in FY2025 versus 388M CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was −83.5M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.9B CNY (≈ $579M) · P/S ratio 12.0 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.8400 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin −27.2% · Return on equity −11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7% · Operating margin −38.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −85%, 300609 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.11 Fair Value ¥3.47 Bull ¥3.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥0.0700 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1800 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0700 ¥0.1100 ¥0.1400 67
EV/EBITDA ¥3.40 ¥3.77 ¥4.13 67
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0700 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1800 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0700 ¥0.1100 ¥0.1400 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥3.40 ¥3.77 ¥4.13 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.90 ¥5.23 ¥7.81 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 22/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8.6% (2020) → −16.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300609 screens overvalued: fair value 85% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 685 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −85.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −31.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −38.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 29.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.62× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.80× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 41
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)1 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €186.74 €172.46 −8%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $229.57 $342.73 +49%
Shopify Inc SHOP $144.01 $64.36 −55%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $134.01 $147.41 +10%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.36 $103.69 +49%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $330.31 $74.36 −77%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $261.80 $150.01 −43%
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.94 $454.04 +89%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $268.70 $32.52 −88%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $326.70 $225.48 −31%

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Winner Information Technology Co Inc · Fair Value
¥3.47 −85%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Winner Information Technology Co Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300609

Frequently asked questions

Is Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.47 versus a price of ¥23.67, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300609?
Our model-based fair value for Winner Information Technology Co Inc is ¥3.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥23.67.
What is the quality score of 300609?
Winner Information Technology Co Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.11, optimistic scenario ¥3.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Winner Information Technology Co Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.47, about −85% upside versus a price of ¥23.67 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.11, optimistic scenario ¥3.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
Winner Information Technology Co Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 322M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Winner Information Technology Co Inc pay a dividend?
Winner Information Technology Co Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.03% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Winner Information Technology Co Inc it is ¥3.47 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥23.67. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Winner Information Technology Co Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300609 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥23.67, fair value ¥3.47, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300609?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥23.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.47). For Winner Information Technology Co Inc the two are ¥20.20 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Winner Information Technology Co Inc worth?
The market values Winner Information Technology Co Inc at about 3.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥23.67; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300609?
Our models span a range for Winner Information Technology Co Inc: cautious scenario ¥3.11, base ¥3.47, optimistic ¥3.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥23.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
Balance-sheet figures for Winner Information Technology Co Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −11.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300609 from its 52-week high?
Winner Information Technology Co Inc trades at ¥23.67, about 48% below its 52-week high of ¥45.59 and 3% above the low of ¥22.89 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Winner Information Technology Co Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Winner Information Technology Co Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥23.67, calculated fair value ¥3.47 (−85%), Quality Score 45/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300609 calculated?
We run Winner Information Technology Co Inc through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Winner Information Technology Co Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥23.67. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.47, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Winner Information Technology Co Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Winner Information Technology Co Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
The market capitalisation of Winner Information Technology Co Inc is 3.9B CNY (≈ $579M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Winner Information Technology Co Inc is 12.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
Earnings per share at Winner Information Technology Co Inc are ¥−0.8400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
The dividend yield of Winner Information Technology Co Inc is 0.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
The net margin of Winner Information Technology Co Inc is −27.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Winner Information Technology Co Inc is −11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Winner Information Technology Co Inc is −1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
The operating margin of Winner Information Technology Co Inc is −38.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
Revenue at Winner Information Technology Co Inc is growing +29.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609)?
Earnings per share at Winner Information Technology Co Inc are growing −87.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609) generate?
The free cash flow of Winner Information Technology Co Inc is −18.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Winner Information Technology Co Inc (300609) hold?
Winner Information Technology Co Inc holds more cash than debt, 243M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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