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Jiayuan Science and Technology Co (301117) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 4.6B CNY

JS Jiayuan Science and Technology Co 301117 · SHE
Price¥18.58
Fair Value¥4.18
Upside-77.5%
Quality32/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -16.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥2.76 – ¥5.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −13.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.76 to ¥5.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥60.34 ¥11.44 Fair Value ¥4.18 Jan 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range ¥11.44 – ¥60.34 · fair‑value band ¥2.76 – ¥5.23 · the ¥18.58 price screens above the ¥4.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Jiayuan Science and Technology Co (301117) currently trades at ¥18.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.18, implying the stock looks roughly 77.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiayuan Science and Technology Co generated revenue of 326M CNY at a net margin of -16.2%. Revenue grew 28.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.1%. Net debt stands at 16.4M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.76 (bear case) to ¥5.23 (bull case); at ¥18.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -77%, 301117 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.49 ¥4.68 ¥6.98 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.49 ¥4.68 ¥6.98 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 326M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +28.8%
Net margin -16.2%
Return on equity -4.1%
Free cash flow −126M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -97.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2600
EPS growth (YoY) -7.0%
Net debt 16.4M CNY FY2021

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiayuan Science and Technology Co.,Ltd. provides network information security products and information solutions primarily in China.

Full company description

Jiayuan Science and Technology Co.,Ltd. provides network information security products and information solutions primarily in China. The company focuses on coding theory and artificial intelligence research, and commercial cryptographic products and system development, as well as aerospace, aviation and ground security terminal design and development, and other solutions. It provides products and solutions to healthcare, defense and military, government, commercial secret, and other industries. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Chengdu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiayuan Science and Technology Co reported revenue of ¥320M in FY2025 versus ¥317M in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥43.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 25/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
320M CNY
Latest YoY
−5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+16.0%
Revenue +0.2%/yr
FY21 ¥317M
FY22 ¥270M
FY23 ¥227M
FY24 ¥337M
FY25 ¥320M
Net income
FY21 ¥92.5M
FY22 ¥61.6M
FY23 −¥5.4M
FY24 ¥11.4M
FY25 −¥43.0M

301117 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiayuan Science and Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301117

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 480 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -97% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 29% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 100 · sector 29
PAST 0 · sector 36
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiayuan Science and Technology Co (301117) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.18 versus a price of ¥18.58, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301117?
Our model-based fair value for Jiayuan Science and Technology Co is ¥4.18 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥18.58.
What is the quality score of 301117?
Jiayuan Science and Technology Co has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiayuan Science and Technology Co (301117)?
Jiayuan Science and Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 326M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301117?
The net profit margin of Jiayuan Science and Technology Co is about -16.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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