Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. stock ¥4.86, price ¥10.97, upside -55.7%, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range ¥10.70 – ¥62.05 · fair‑value band ¥0.9720 – ¥8.76 · the ¥10.97 price screens above the ¥4.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sales of precision structural parts and molds in China and internationally.
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It offers precision metal structural parts and precision plastic structural parts; precision die-casting structural parts, including metal shells, brackets, internal support structures, automotive lightweight parts, etc; precision injection molding structural parts; brackets and wire assemblies; and stamping structural parts.
The company serves photovoltaics, energy storage, new energy vehicles, security, and consumer electronics. Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Dongguan, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268) currently trades at ¥10.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.86, 55.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: ¥0.9720 (bear) to ¥8.76 (bull), the price of ¥10.97 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 3.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +17.6%/yr. Reported net income was −235M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.4B CNY (≈ $660M) Small · P/S ratio 1.15 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.7200 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −7.6% · Return on equity −17.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% · Operating margin −4.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 5 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −56%, 301268 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥0.9720Fair Value ¥4.86Bull¥8.76
Price ¥10.97 · Upside -55.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+37.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
’19
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’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.4% (2020) → −0.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 253 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−54.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−3.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−7.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−4.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)7.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.56× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.68× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.15× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA74.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)36· sector 65
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)72· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)13· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.86 versus a price of ¥10.97, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301268?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. is ¥4.86 (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.97.
What is the quality score of 301268?
Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.86 (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.9720, optimistic scenario ¥8.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.86, about −56% upside versus a price of ¥10.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.9720, optimistic scenario ¥8.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.66% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. it is ¥4.86 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of ¥10.97. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 301268 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥10.97, fair value ¥4.86, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301268?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥10.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.86). For Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. the two are ¥6.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. at about 4.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is ¥10.97; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301268?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥0.9720, base ¥4.86, optimistic ¥8.76 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price ¥10.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity −17.2%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301268 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. trades at ¥10.97, about 58% below its 52-week high of ¥26.21 and 3% above the low of ¥10.70 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price ¥10.97, calculated fair value ¥4.86 (−56%), Quality Score 37/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301268 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.86, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was ¥10.97. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.86, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥0.9720 to ¥8.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. is 4.4B CNY (≈ $660M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. is 1.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. are ¥−0.7200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. is −7.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. is −17.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. is growing +7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. are growing −99.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. is −453M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. (301268) carry?
The net debt of Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co. Ltd. is 2.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 28, 2026