China International Marine Containers (Group) Co (000039) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 50.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥6.57 to ¥1.15 (−82.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +7.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥0.5100 to ¥1.59). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.17 – ¥13.69 · fair‑value band ¥0.5100 – ¥1.59 · the ¥8.58 price screens above the ¥1.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co (000039) currently trades at ¥8.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.15, implying the stock looks roughly 86.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China International Marine Containers (Group) Co generated revenue of 153B CNY at a net margin of -0.1%. Revenue declined 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. Net debt stands at 21.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.5100 (bear case) to ¥1.59 (bull case); at ¥8.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -66% fair-value upside, at -87%, 000039 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥27.12) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.5200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells logistics and energy equipment in China, America, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells logistics and energy equipment in China, America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Containers Manufacturing; Road Transportation Vehicles; Energy, Chemical and Liquid Food Equipment; Offshore Engineering; Airport Facilities and Logistics Equipment, Fire Safety and Rescue Equipment; Logistics Services; Finance and Asset Management; Recycled Load; and Others segments. It offers energy, chemical, and liquid food equipment. The company also designs and constructs semi-submersible drilling and jack-up drilling platforms, as well as provides maintenance and reconstruction services for its platforms. In addition, it provides dry, reefer, and special-purpose containers; semi-trailers, EV-DTB truck body products, and EV tractors and trailers; seaport passenger boarding bridges, airport baggage handling system, special vehicles for airport ground, air cargo handling system, fire trucks and rescue equipment, automated warehouse logistics systems, automatic parking system, and other airport facilities and automatic storage products; reusable transport packaging design and leasing services; and multimodal transport logistics solutions. Further, the company offers finance lease, operating lease, and other finance solutions for customers in the fields of offshore engineering, road transportation vehicle, energy, chemical, and food equipment. Additionally, it engages in industry-city development and provides fire security solutions. The company was formerly known as China International Marine Containers Co., Ltd. and changed its name to China International Marine Containers (Group) Co., Ltd. in 1995. China International Marine Containers (Group) Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co reported revenue of ¥157B in FY2025 versus ¥164B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥221M in FY2025, compounding −57.3%/yr from FY2021.
000039 screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
| SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, 601399 | ¥3.32 | ¥1.35 | -59% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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