Renxin New Material Co. Ltd. A (301395) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 17, 2026, revised from ¥2.35 to ¥3.03 (+28.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +31.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 74% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range ¥6.48 – ¥24.13 · fair‑value band ¥2.27 – ¥3.77 · the ¥11.79 price screens above the ¥3.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
Analysis
Renxin New Material Co. Ltd. A (301395) currently trades at ¥11.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.03, implying the stock looks roughly 74.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Renxin New Material Co. Ltd. A generated revenue of 2.1B CNY at a net margin of -4.2%. Revenue declined 13.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.9%. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.27 (bear case) to ¥3.77 (bull case); at ¥11.79, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -74%, 301395 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.26) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.74). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Renxin New Material Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of polystyrene polymer materials in China. Its products are used in optical display, household appliances, daily necessities, packaging, and other fields after processing and molding. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Huizhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Renxin New Material Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of ¥2.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.7B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥33.5M in FY2025, compounding −29.3%/yr from FY2021.
301395 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 333 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 467.04 MXN | -55% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,855 IDR | 1,584 IDR | -15% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 275,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +113% |
| SRF Limited 503806 | ₹2,609 | ₹749.17 | -71% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,709 | ₹791.05 | -83% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,357 | ₹2,146 | -74% |
| Deepak Nitrite Limited DEEPAKNI | ₹1,768 | ₹824.05 | -53% |
| 523642 523642 | ₹2,484 | ₹1,745 | -30% |
| 506285 506285 | ₹4,048 | ₹1,589 | -61% |
| Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited 500165 | ₹209.25 | ₹80.51 | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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