Shin-Etsu Chemical Co (SHECY) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $84.1B
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co
SHECY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −10.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.69 – $24.56 · fair‑value band $10.69 – $17.82 · the $19.37 price screens above the $14.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co (SHECY) currently trades at $19.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.26, implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shin-Etsu Chemical Co generated revenue of $2.6T at a net margin of 18.4%. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.4T. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.69 (bear case) to $17.82 (bull case); at $19.37, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -26%, SHECY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($12.56) versus Asset-Based ($4.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. provides infrastructure, electronics, and functional materials in Japan. The company operates through Electronic Materials; Living environment basic materials; Functional materials; and Processing, trading and technical services segments It offers polyvinyl chloride resin, caustic soda, methanol, chloromethanes, and polyvinyl …
Full company description
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. provides infrastructure, electronics, and functional materials in Japan. The company operates through Electronic Materials; Living environment basic materials; Functional materials; and Processing, trading and technical services segments It offers polyvinyl chloride resin, caustic soda, methanol, chloromethanes, and polyvinyl alcohol; and semiconductor silicon, rare earth magnets, semiconductor encapsulating materials, LED packaging materials, photoresists, photomask blanks, and synthetic quartz products. The company also sells silicones, cellulose derivatives, silicon metal, synthetic pheromones, vinyl chloride-vinyl acetate copolymer, liquid fluoroelastomers, pellicles, and silicon anode material for lithium-ion batteries. In addition, it is involved in the processed plastics; export of technologies and plants; export and import of products; and engineering activities. The company was formerly known as Shin-Etsu Nitrogen Fertilizer Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. in 1940. Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥2.7T in FY2026 versus ¥2.1T in FY2022, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥503B in FY2026, compounding +0.1%/yr from FY2022.
SHECY screens 26% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd: A Significant Move by Hennessy Japan Fund
- Shin-Etsu Buyback And Deep-Sea Rare Earths Reshape Investor Outlook
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹7,647 | ₹2,200 | -71% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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