Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥25.13 – ¥148.70 · the ¥46.39 price screens above the ¥16.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
Ganfeng Lithium Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells lithium products in China. The company offers lithium hydroxide, carbonate, fluoride, chloride, and other compounds; lithium metals, battery grade lithium metal, lithium foil, and other lithium alloys; cesium and rubidium compounds; and Organo lithium compounds.
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Ganfeng Lithium Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells lithium products in China. The company offers lithium hydroxide, carbonate, fluoride, chloride, and other compounds; lithium metals, battery grade lithium metal, lithium foil, and other lithium alloys; cesium and rubidium compounds; and Organo lithium compounds. It also provides power battery, energy storage system, 3C digital batteries, consumer electronics battery, and solid state lithium batteries; lithium battery materials, such as precursor materials and materials for solid state lithium batteries; and battery recycling solutions. In addition, the company offers raw materials to automotive, battery, and materials manufacturers; energy storage equipment for clean energy sources, including solar and wind power; battery solutions for consumer electronic devices, such as mobile phones, headphones, and robot vacuum cleaners; and lithium-ion battery systems for industrial vehicles, as well as engages in recycling, processing, and reusing resources from used batteries. Its products are used in electric vehicles, energy storage, aerospace, functional materials, and pharmaceuticals industries. Ganfeng Lithium Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Xinyu, China.
Stock analysis
Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460) currently trades at ¥46.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.17, implying the stock looks roughly 186.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥30.91 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥46.39 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥10.55, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd reported revenue of 23.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 11.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +19.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B CNY in FY2025, compounding −25.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 108B CNY (≈ $16.1B) · P/E ratio 35.5 · P/S ratio 2.48 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.85 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 7.0% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −65%, 002460 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥16.17Fair Value ¥16.17Bull ¥16.17
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥1.23 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.1%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 21%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 6%
Compare Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 348 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside−67% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth144% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.38× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)35.5× · Pricier than median
P/B2.39× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)3.79× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA23.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.35× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)29· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)81· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)6· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002460
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.17 versus a price of ¥46.39, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002460?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is ¥16.17 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥46.39.
What is the quality score of 002460?
Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥16.17 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 16 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥16.17, about −65% upside versus a price of ¥46.39 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 28.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.32% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd it is ¥16.17 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of ¥46.39. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, 002460 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥46.39, fair value ¥16.17, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002460?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥46.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥16.17). For Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd the two are ¥30.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd worth?
The market values Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd at about 108B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is ¥46.39; our models calculate a fair value of ¥16.17 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 002460?
Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.5 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥16.17 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 2.4, P/S 3.8, EV/EBITDA 23.5.
What is the PEG ratio of 002460?
The PEG ratio of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is 0.35 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 7.3%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002460 from its 52-week high?
Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd trades at ¥46.39, about 49% below its 52-week high of ¥91.67 and 54% above the low of ¥30.15 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥16.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, A. Schulman, Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price ¥46.39, calculated fair value ¥16.17 (−65%), Quality Score 44/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002460 calculated?
We run Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥16.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥46.39. Our model-based fair value is ¥16.17, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is 108B CNY (≈ $16.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is 2.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
Earnings per share at Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd are ¥1.85 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
The dividend yield of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is 0.3% (payout 8.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
The net margin of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is 7.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is 9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
The operating margin of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is 21.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
Revenue at Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is growing +144% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460)?
Earnings per share at Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd are growing +150% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is −4.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd (002460) carry?
The net debt of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is 18.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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