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ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED S$0.04, price S$0.08, upside -48.0%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · SG

AR Thin data Sep 24, 2026

ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED

40F · SG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 0.0406 SGD · Strongly overvalued (−48.0%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth
!Loss-making · -70.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.0780 SGD 0.0780 SGD Fair Value 0.0406 SGD Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0780 SGD – 0.0780 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0328 SGD – 0.0406 SGD · the 0.0780 SGD price screens above the 0.0406 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Alita Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Western Australia, South Africa, and Liberia. It explores for lithium and tantalum tenements, as well as iron ore.

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Alita Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Western Australia, South Africa, and Liberia. It explores for lithium and tantalum tenements, as well as iron ore. The company's principal project is the Bald Hill project that includes four mining leases, eight exploration licenses, eight prospecting licenses, and two tenement applications totaling 774 square metres, which is located to the southeast of Kambalda region in the Eastern Goldfields, Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Alliance Mineral Assets Limited and changed its name to Alita Resources Limited in July 2019. Alita Resources Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Osborne Park, Australia.

Stock analysis

ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F) currently trades at 0.0780 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0406 SGD, 48.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 0.0300 SGD per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 0.0780 SGD price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0100 SGD, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.0328 SGD (bear) to 0.0406 SGD (bull), the price of 0.0780 SGD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED reported revenue of A$0 in FY2024 versus A$0 in FY2017. Reported net income was A$3.2M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap 115M SGD (≈ $90.0M) · P/S ratio 1.24 · EPS (TTM) −0.0490 SGD · Net margin −70.6% · Return on equity −49.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.6% · Operating margin −76.2% · Revenue (TTM) 92.7M SGD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −48%, 40F screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.0328 SGD Fair Value 0.0406 SGD Bull 0.0406 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 79
Growth DCF 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 77
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 79
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 74
5Y P/E Exit 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 67
10Y P/E Exit 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0100 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0500 SGD 55
Lynch FV 0.0100 SGD 0.0100 SGD 0.0100 SGD 55
PEG = 1.0 0.0100 SGD 0.0100 SGD 0.0100 SGD 51
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 62
P/B Multiple 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 54
EV/EBITDA 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 77
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.0300 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0300 SGD 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 64

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 16/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +29.5% a year for the price.

40F screens overvalued: fair value 48% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 433 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside −47.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −21.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −70.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −76.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.44× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 34.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 6
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 62
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 61.10 SAR 67.21 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.08 ¥19.15 +12%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹588.95 ₹647.85 +10%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥57.18 ¥29.56 −48%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Boliden AB BOL kr 521.00 kr 464.45 −11%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥35.19 ¥38.71 +10%
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$12.06 C$4.46 −63%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥46.90 ¥23.62 −50%
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹266.35 ₹655.92 +146%

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ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED · Fair Value
0.0406 SGD −48%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/40F

Frequently asked questions

Is ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0406 SGD versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of 0.0780 SGD, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 40F?
Our model-based fair value for ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED is 0.0406 SGD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): 0.0780 SGD.
What is the quality score of 40F?
ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0406 SGD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0328 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0406 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0406 SGD, about −48% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of 0.0780 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0328 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0406 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 92.7M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED would have to grow free cash flow by +32.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 40F use?
Our models discount ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED at 12.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED that is +32.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How fast is the sector of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (+32.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.25 %: that much free cash flow ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED it is 0.0406 SGD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.0780 SGD. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 40F trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.0780 SGD, fair value 0.0406 SGD, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 40F?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0780 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0406 SGD). For ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED the two are 0.0374 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED worth?
The market values ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED at about 115M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.0780 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0406 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 40F?
Our models span a range for ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.0328 SGD, base 0.0406 SGD, optimistic 0.0406 SGD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.0780 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
Balance-sheet figures for ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −49.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 40F from its 52-week high?
ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED trades at 0.0780 SGD, at its 52-week high of 0.0780 SGD and at the low of 0.0780 SGD (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0406 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.0780 SGD, calculated fair value 0.0406 SGD (−48%), Quality Score 47/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 40F calculated?
We run ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0406 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at 0.0780 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.0406 SGD, about −48% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0406 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED

How large is the market capitalisation of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
The market capitalisation of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED is 115M SGD (≈ $90.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED is 1.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
Earnings per share at ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED are −0.0490 SGD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
The net margin of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED is −70.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED is −49.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED is −1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED (40F)?
The operating margin of ALITA RESOURCES LIMITED is −76.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
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