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Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, (4456) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · MY · Market cap 1.5B MYR

DN Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, 4456 · KLSE
Price0.5000 MYR
Fair Value0.0800 MYR
Upside-84.0%
Quality31/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -25.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.0700 MYR – 0.0900 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +14.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 84% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0900 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.26 MYR 0.2250 MYR Fair Value 0.0800 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.2250 MYR – 1.26 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0700 MYR – 0.0900 MYR · the 0.5000 MYR price screens above the 0.0800 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, (4456) currently trades at 0.5000 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0800 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 84.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, generated revenue of 1.0B MYR at a net margin of -25.0%. Revenue declined 9.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 167M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.0700 MYR (bear case) to 0.0900 MYR (bull case); at 0.5000 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 117% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -84%, 4456 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1700 MYR 80
NCAV (Graham) 0.2000 MYR 0.2600 MYR 0.3900 MYR 50
EV/Revenue 0.1000 MYR 0.1100 MYR 0.1200 MYR 43
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1800 MYR 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1600 MYR 39
10Y Revenue Exit 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1600 MYR 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue 0.1000 MYR 0.1100 MYR 0.1200 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2000 MYR 0.2600 MYR 0.3900 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1700 MYR 80

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.2600 MYR) versus Multiples (0.1100 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.0B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.9%
Net margin -25.0%
Return on equity -18.8%
Free cash flow 8.9M MYR FY2025
Operating margin 12.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.0700 MYR
EPS growth (YoY) -70.4%
Net cash 167M MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 45
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in information technology (IT), Semiconductor, and energy businesses in Asia, Europe, and North America.

Full company description

Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in information technology (IT), Semiconductor, and energy businesses in Asia, Europe, and North America. It is involved in the development, management, and provision of business to government (B2G) e-commerce and computerized transaction in trade facilitation services; research and development, designing, manufacturing, and trading of radio-frequency technology; and provision of services for infrastructure works for telecommunication industry. The company also engages in the business of online marketing and e-market place; trading of various types of drinking water and beverages; provision of technical consultancy, maintenance, and technical support service to eBusiness; and operation of business to business (B2B) eCommerce portal. In addition, the company offers consultancy and advisory in computer hardware, software, peripherals, and other IT based products; IT project management, maintenance and asset management; manufacturing of semiconductor wafers and integrated device, as well as supplies multinational fabless; and sale of advanced semiconductor products. Further, it supplies hardware equipment, software, and peripherals; information transmission; explores for, develops, and produces crude oil and natural gas; explores and develops upstream oil and gas assets; designs, develops, constructs, operates, and maintains power plants; provides oilfield services; engineering and technical support services for the oil and gas industry; and sells oil and gas related equipment. Additionally, the company trades in solid state drive products; and provision of subsea cable installation and maintenance services. The company was formerly known as TIME Engineering Berhad and changed its name to Dagang NeXchange Berhad in May 2014. Dagang NeXchange Berhad was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Cyberjaya, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, reported revenue of 1.0B MYR in FY2025 versus 1.5B MYR in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −318M MYR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.0B MYR
Latest YoY
−11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.4%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Revenue −8.1%/yr
FY21 1.5B MYR
FY22 1.3B MYR
FY23 1.3B MYR
FY24 1.2B MYR
FY25 1.0B MYR
Net income
FY21 550M MYR
FY22 −119M MYR
FY23 −80.0M MYR
FY24 −50.4M MYR
FY25 −318M MYR

4456 screens 84% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4456

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -25% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.37× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 42.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 36
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, (4456) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0800 MYR versus a price of 0.5000 MYR, about −84% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4456?
Our model-based fair value for Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, is 0.0800 MYR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.5000 MYR.
What is the quality score of 4456?
Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, (4456)?
Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4456?
The net profit margin of Dagang NeXchange Berhad, an investment holding company, is about -25.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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