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4Sight Holdings (4SI) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · ZA · Market cap 407M ZAC

4H 4Sight Holdings 4SI · JSE
PriceR0.7500
Fair ValueR1.98
Upside+164.0%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range R0.9600 – R2.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −2.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 164% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R0.9600). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (R0.9600 to R2.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R1.07 R0.1657 Fair Value R1.98 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R0.1657 – R1.07 · fair‑value band R0.9600 – R2.47 · the R0.7500 price screens below the R1.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

4Sight Holdings (4SI) currently trades at R0.7500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R1.98, implying the stock looks roughly 164.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 4Sight Holdings generated revenue of 31.4M ZAR at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 27.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 62.8M ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R0.9600 (bear case) to R2.47 (bull case); at R0.7500, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 164%, 4SI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R0.4000 R0.5500 R0.8100 80
Residual Income R0.6500 R0.7700 R1.57 76
ROIC Compounder R1.10 R1.46 R1.77 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R0.4100 R0.5300 R0.8500 38
Owner Earnings R0.9200 R1.72 R3.19 31
5Y Revenue Exit R1.14 R2.14 R4.15 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R1.20 R2.27 R4.27 41
5Y P/E Exit R1.23 R2.65 R4.55 38
10Y Revenue Exit R0.8400 R1.94 R3.16 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R0.9200 R2.05 R4.26 37
10Y P/E Exit R0.9400 R2.11 R4.26 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R0.6700 R4.69 R6.58 54
Lynch FV R1.50 R2.14 R2.78 50
PEG = 1.0 R1.50 R2.14 R2.78 46
EPV R0.9600 R1.06 R1.15 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R0.2000 R0.3700 R0.5000 70
DDM Multi-Stage R0.2000 R0.3300 R0.3900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R1.48 R1.98 R2.47 63
P/S Multiple R1.26 R1.68 R2.10 58
P/B Multiple R1.26 R1.68 R2.10 55
EV/EBIT R2.03 R2.65 R3.27 53
EV/EBITDA R1.61 R2.09 R2.57 54
EV/Revenue R1.43 R1.97 R2.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R0.3500 R0.4700 R0.7000 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R0.4000 R0.5500 R0.8100 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income R0.6500 R0.7700 R1.57 76
ROIC Compounder R1.10 R1.46 R1.77 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R1.96 R2.80 R3.64 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R2.80) versus Dividend Discount (R0.3300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 31.4M ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) +27.5%
Net margin 8.1%
Return on equity 12.4%
Free cash flow 9.5M ZAC FY2025
P/E ratio 7.9
More key figures
Operating margin 4.8%
EPS (TTM) R0.1000
EPS growth (YoY) +40.2%
Net cash 62.8M ZAC FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

4Sight Holdings Limited provides technology solutions in South Africa, rest of Africa, Europe, the Middle East and Australasia, and the Americas.

Full company description

4Sight Holdings Limited provides technology solutions in South Africa, rest of Africa, Europe, the Middle East and Australasia, and the Americas. The company offers asset automation solutions, including intelligent motor control, process automation system, digital energy, cyber security, and IIoT; asset optimization solutions comprising manufacturing execution system, process control, asset performance management, and simulation; asset simulation solutions; and enterprise resource planning, HR and payroll, business intelligence and reporting, fixed asset, and customer relationship management solutions. It also provides digital enterprise, cybersecurity, software and application development, adoption and change management, data enablement, and intelligent automation solutions; and distributes and supports artificial intelligence solutions on behalf of software vendors, such as Microsoft and Sage, as well as a range of vertical and horizontal ISV applications. The company serves agriculture, car rentals, education, engineering, export, financial services, healthcare, hospitality, importing and clearing agents, logistics, manufacturing, mining, oil and gas, power and utilities, professional services, property management, retail, software supply and consulting, telcos and infrastructure, transport, and warehousing and distribution industries, as well as government and public sectors, regulatory bodies, project based companies, and non-profit organizations. 4Sight Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Four Ways, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

4Sight Holdings reported revenue of R1.2B in FY2025 versus R577M in FY2021, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was R54.3M in FY2025, compounding +48.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B ZAR
Latest YoY
+16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.2%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.9%
Revenue +19.2%/yr
FY21 R577M
FY22 R696M
FY23 R941M
FY24 R1.0B
FY25 R1.2B
Net income +48.5%/yr
FY21 R11.2M
FY22 R15.4M
FY23 R27.6M
FY24 R39.2M
FY25 R54.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −2.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +14.9 pp

of which total revenue +16.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.4 pp

EBIT margin −14.3 pp
Tax rate −1.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "4Sight Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4SI

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +164% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 29
PAST 50 · sector 37
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 4Sight Holdings (4SI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R1.98 versus a price of R0.7500, about +164% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4SI?
Our model-based fair value for 4Sight Holdings is R1.98 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R0.7500.
What is the quality score of 4SI?
4Sight Holdings has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of 4Sight Holdings (4SI)?
4Sight Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 31.4M ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4SI?
The net profit margin of 4Sight Holdings is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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