4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of 4Sight Holdings Ltd ZAR 2.01, price ZAR 0.67, upside +200.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R0.1590 – R1.03 · fair‑value band R0.9153 – R3.06 · the R0.6700 price screens below the R2.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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4Sight Holdings Limited provides technology solutions in South Africa, rest of Africa, Europe, the Middle East and Australasia, and the Americas.
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4Sight Holdings Limited provides technology solutions in South Africa, rest of Africa, Europe, the Middle East and Australasia, and the Americas. The company offers asset automation solutions, including intelligent motor control, process automation system, digital energy, cyber security, and IIoT; asset optimization solutions comprising manufacturing execution system, process control, asset performance management, and simulation; asset simulation solutions; and enterprise resource planning, HR and payroll, business intelligence and reporting, fixed asset, and customer relationship management solutions. It also provides digital enterprise, cybersecurity, software and application development, adoption and change management, data enablement, and intelligent automation solutions; and distributes and supports artificial intelligence solutions on behalf of software vendors, such as Microsoft and Sage, as well as a range of vertical and horizontal ISV applications. The company serves agriculture, car rentals, education, engineering, export, financial services, healthcare, hospitality, importing and clearing agents, logistics, manufacturing, mining, oil and gas, power and utilities, professional services, property management, retail, software supply and consulting, telcos and infrastructure, transport, and warehousing and distribution industries, as well as government and public sectors, regulatory bodies, project based companies, and non-profit organizations. 4Sight Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Four Ways, South Africa.
Stock analysis
4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI) currently trades at R0.6700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R2.01, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R3.25 per share, and 20 of the 25 models we run sit above the R0.6700 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R0.4000, and 5 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: R0.9153 (bear) to R3.06 (bull), the price of R0.6700 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
4Sight Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 1.2B ZAR in FY2025 versus 577M ZAR in FY2021, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was 54.3M ZAR in FY2025, compounding +48.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 380M ZAC · P/E ratio 6.7 · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) R0.1000 · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 12.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% · Operating margin 4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at 200%, 4SI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R0.9153Fair Value R2.01Bull R3.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0734 ZAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.0% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ZAR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in ZAR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+40.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+40.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28% vs 0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 7%
2025 sits 85% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Africa: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 498 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside+200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R2.01 versus a price of R0.6700, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4SI?
Our model-based fair value for 4Sight Holdings Ltd is R2.01 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R0.6700.
What is the quality score of 4SI?
4Sight Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R2.01 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario R0.9153, optimistic scenario R3.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the 4Sight Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R2.01, about +200% upside versus a price of R0.6700 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R0.9153, optimistic scenario R3.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, 4Sight Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +26.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4SI use?
Our models discount 4Sight Holdings Ltd at 13.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for South Africa. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For 4Sight Holdings Ltd that is +26.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at 4Sight Holdings Ltd grew +20.2 % a year. The price currently implies +26.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into 4Sight Holdings Ltd (+26.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.49 %: that much free cash flow 4Sight Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For 4Sight Holdings Ltd it is R2.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R0.6700. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is 4Sight Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4SI trades below its calculated fair value: price R0.6700, fair value R2.01, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4SI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R0.6700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R2.01). For 4Sight Holdings Ltd the two are R1.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is 4Sight Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values 4Sight Holdings Ltd at about 380M ZAC (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R0.6700; our models calculate a fair value of R2.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4SI?
Our models span a range for 4Sight Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario R0.9153, base R2.01, optimistic R3.06 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R0.6700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4SI?
4Sight Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R2.01 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
Balance-sheet figures for 4Sight Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.4%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4SI from its 52-week high?
4Sight Holdings Ltd trades at R0.6700, about 17% below its 52-week high of R0.8100 and 10% above the low of R0.6067 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R2.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to 4Sight Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is 4Sight Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R0.6700, calculated fair value R2.01 (+200%), Quality Score 57/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4SI calculated?
We run 4Sight Holdings Ltd through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R2.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. 4Sight Holdings Ltd currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was R0.6700. Our model-based fair value is R2.01, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with 4Sight Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (R0.9153). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (R0.9153 to R3.06). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI) come from?
Earnings per share at 4Sight Holdings Ltd grew −2.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.9 %, EBIT margin −14.3 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of 4Sight Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
The market capitalisation of 4Sight Holdings Ltd is 380M ZAC. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of 4Sight Holdings Ltd is 0.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
Earnings per share at 4Sight Holdings Ltd are R0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
The net margin of 4Sight Holdings Ltd is 4.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of 4Sight Holdings Ltd is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of 4Sight Holdings Ltd is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
The operating margin of 4Sight Holdings Ltd is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
Revenue at 4Sight Holdings Ltd is growing +27.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI)?
Earnings per share at 4Sight Holdings Ltd are growing +40.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does 4Sight Holdings Ltd (4SI) hold?
4Sight Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 62.8M ZAC net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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