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SpiceJet Limited (500285) Fair Value & Analysis

Other · IN · Market cap ₹28.8B

SL SpiceJet Limited 500285 · BSE
Price₹10.96
Fair Value₹4.46
Upside-59.3%
Quality23/100
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Risks

!Trades 59% ABOVE our fair value of ₹4.46
!Weak Growth
!Loss over the last twelve months · -17.8% net margin · fiscal year 2025 1.2%
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Weak Growth
Loss over the last twelve months · -17.8% net margin · fiscal year 2025 1.2%
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range ₹3.35 – ₹5.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹4.48 to ₹4.46 (−0.4%) since Aug 9, 2026.

Below-average quality, and screening another 59% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹5.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹84.55 ₹9.74 Fair Value ₹4.46 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹9.74 – ₹84.55 · fair‑value band ₹3.35 – ₹5.58 · the ₹10.96 price screens above the ₹4.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

SpiceJet Limited (500285) currently trades at ₹10.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹4.46, implying the stock looks roughly 59.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Other sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, SpiceJet Limited generated revenue of ₹81.1B at a net margin of -17.8%. Revenue declined 62.4% year over year. Net debt stands at ₹8.5B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 3.6 (as of Jul 4, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹3.35 (bear case) to ₹5.58 (bull case); at ₹10.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -59%, 500285 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E ₹2.43 ₹3.47 ₹4.51 68
P/E Multiple ₹3.05 ₹4.06 ₹5.08 63
P/S Multiple ₹3.05 ₹4.06 ₹5.08 58
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹23.56 ₹36.12 ₹54.47 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹1.62 ₹4.25 ₹5.55 54
PEG = 1.0 ₹0.8100 ₹1.16 ₹1.51 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹3.05 ₹4.06 ₹5.08 63
P/S Multiple ₹3.05 ₹4.06 ₹5.08 58
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹2.43 ₹3.47 ₹4.51 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹36.12) versus Earnings-Based (₹1.16). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹81.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -62.4%
Net margin -17.8%
Free cash flow −₹17.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 3.6 as of Jul 4, 2026
Operating margin -16.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹9.27
EPS growth (YoY) +32.5%
Net debt ₹8.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SpiceJet Limited provides air transportation services in India. The company offers passengers and cargo air transportation services under the SpiceJet brand. As of July 31, 2019, it operated 111 fleets covering 62 destinations, which include 53 domestic and 9 international destinations.

Full company description

SpiceJet Limited provides air transportation services in India. The company offers passengers and cargo air transportation services under the SpiceJet brand. As of July 31, 2019, it operated 111 fleets covering 62 destinations, which include 53 domestic and 9 international destinations. SpiceJet Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Gurugram, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SpiceJet Limited reported revenue of ₹53.3B in FY2025 versus ₹51.7B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹628M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹53.3B
Latest YoY
−24.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.5%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.5%
Revenue +0.7%/yr
FY21 ₹51.7B
FY22 ₹66.0B
FY23 ₹88.7B
FY24 ₹70.9B
FY25 ₹53.3B
Net income
FY21 −₹10.3B
FY22 −₹17.4B
FY23 −₹15.1B
FY24 −₹4.2B
FY25 ₹628M

500285 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SpiceJet Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500285

Peer Group

Other · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Below median
Return on assets -7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -62% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 2
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Wipro Limited 507685 ₹183.80 ₹193.38 +5%
540376 540376 ₹4,054 ₹1,542 -62%
540777 540777 ₹537.50 ₹149.72 -72%
Lupin Limited 500257 ₹2,265 ₹1,983 -12%
Dabur India Limited 500096 ₹413.80 ₹122.93 -70%
540719 540719 ₹1,835 ₹872.41 -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SpiceJet Limited (500285) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹4.46 versus a price of ₹10.96, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500285?
Our model-based fair value for SpiceJet Limited is ₹4.46 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹10.96.
What is the quality score of 500285?
SpiceJet Limited has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SpiceJet Limited (500285)?
SpiceJet Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹81.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 500285?
The net profit margin of SpiceJet Limited is about -17.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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