Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FREJO) Fair Value & Analysis

Other · US · Market cap $54.8B

A solid business, screening 239% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($39.58). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• A fairly wide model range ($39.58 to $79.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.00 – $26.95 · fair‑value band $39.58 – $79.31 · the $15.58 price screens below the $52.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FREJO) currently trades at $15.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $52.77, implying the stock looks roughly 238.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Other sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Net debt stands at $3.4T. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $39.58 (bear case) to $79.31 (bull case); at $15.58, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 239%, FREJO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($100.93) versus Asset-Based ($13.42). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation operates in the secondary mortgage market in the United States. The company purchases residential mortgage loans originated by lenders, as well as invests in mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities. It operates in three segments: Single-family Guarantee, Multifamily, and Capital Markets.

Full company description

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation operates in the secondary mortgage market in the United States. The company purchases residential mortgage loans originated by lenders, as well as invests in mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities. It operates in three segments: Single-family Guarantee, Multifamily, and Capital Markets. The Single-family Guarantee segment purchases, securitizes, and guarantees single-family loans; and manages single-family mortgage credit risk. This segment serves lenders, including mortgage banking companies, commercial banks, community banks, regional banks, credit unions, housing finance agencies, savings institutions, and other non-depository financial institutions. The Multifamily segment engages in the purchase, sale, securitization, and guarantee activities in multifamily loans and securities through the issuance of multifamily K and SB certificates; issuing and guarantying other securitization products; issuing other credit risk transfer products; and provision of other mortgage-related guarantees, as well as post-construction financing to apartment project operators. The Capital Markets segment invests principally in mortgage-related securities and single-family performing loans. This segment serves banks and other depository institutions, insurance companies, money managers, central banks, pension funds, state and local governments, real estate investment trusts, brokers and dealers, and lenders. Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation reported revenue of $23.3B in FY2025 versus $4.4B in FY2021, a compound +51.9%/yr. Reported net income was $10.7B in FY2025, compounding −3.0%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Other · 390 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.