HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD S$0.21, price S$0.41, upside -48.8%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Halcyon Agri Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, originates, produces, and distributes natural rubber products in Singapore, China, the United States, Canada, Europe, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Corrie MacColl Group; HRC Group; and Corporate segments.
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Halcyon Agri Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, originates, produces, and distributes natural rubber products in Singapore, China, the United States, Canada, Europe, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Corrie MacColl Group; HRC Group; and Corporate segments. It processes and produces crumb rubber and latex; produces constant viscosity rubber products; and owns rubber plantations land in Malaysia, Cameroon, and west Africa. The company also offers its products for use in tyres, shoe soles, medical gloves, seals, gaskets, and other applications through a network of logistics assets, storage and terminals, laboratories, and sales offices; and distributes natural rubber, latex, and specialty rubber. It provides its natural rubber primarily under the HeveaPRO brand. The company was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Singapore. Halcyon Agri Corporation Limited is a subsidiary of China Rubber Investment Group Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ) currently trades at 0.4100 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2100 SGD, 48.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 0.5600 SGD per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the 0.4100 SGD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.2000 SGD, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.1800 SGD (bear) to 0.2300 SGD (bull), the price of 0.4100 SGD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD reported revenue of $3.8B in FY2024 versus $1.7B in FY2020, a compound +21.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$29.1M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 654M SGD (≈ $511M) · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) −0.0200 SGD · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin −0.8% · Return on equity −14.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% · Operating margin −0.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −49%, 5VJ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.1800 SGDFair Value 0.2100 SGDBull 0.2300 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.0% (2019) → 1.4% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 693 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−48.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−1.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−3.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−0.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.18× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)23· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2100 SGD versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of 0.4100 SGD, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5VJ?
Our model-based fair value for HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD is 0.2100 SGD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): 0.4100 SGD.
What is the quality score of 5VJ?
HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.2100 SGD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1800 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.2300 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.2100 SGD, about −49% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of 0.4100 SGD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.1800 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.2300 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD pay a dividend?
HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD it is 0.2100 SGD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.4100 SGD. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5VJ trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.4100 SGD, fair value 0.2100 SGD, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5VJ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.4100 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.2100 SGD). For HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD the two are 0.2000 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD worth?
The market values HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD at about 654M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.4100 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.2100 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5VJ?
Our models span a range for HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD: cautious scenario 0.1800 SGD, base 0.2100 SGD, optimistic 0.2300 SGD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.4100 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
Balance-sheet figures for HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −14.5%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5VJ from its 52-week high?
HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD trades at 0.4100 SGD, at its 52-week high of 0.4100 SGD and at the low of 0.4100 SGD (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.2100 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.4100 SGD, calculated fair value 0.2100 SGD (−49%), Quality Score 51/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5VJ calculated?
We run HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.2100 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at 0.4100 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.2100 SGD, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.2300 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD
How large is the market capitalisation of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
The market capitalisation of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD is 654M SGD (≈ $511M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
Earnings per share at HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD are −0.0200 SGD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
The dividend yield of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD is 1.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
The net margin of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD is −0.8% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD is −14.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
The operating margin of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD is −0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ)?
Revenue at HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD is growing +20.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ) generate?
The free cash flow of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD is −$109M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD (5VJ) carry?
The net debt of HALCYON AGRI CORPORATION LTD is $1.2B (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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