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Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd stock ¥0.84, price ¥3.89, upside -78.4%, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CN · ISIN CNE000000R10

XT Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd logo Thin data Oct 29, 2026

Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd

600075 · SHG
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 78% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 41/100
Moderate debt
Fair value ¥0.8402 · Strongly overvalued (−78.4%)
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −9.7 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -0.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 19/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥12.50 ¥3.26 Fair Value ¥0.8402 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.26 – ¥12.50 · fair‑value band ¥0.8402 – ¥2.20 · the ¥3.89 price screens above the ¥0.8402 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Xinjiang Tianye Co.,Ltd. produces and sells chemical products in China and internationally. The company offers general-purpose polyvinyl chloride resins, special resins, paste resins, caustic soda flakes, caustics soda granules, cement and cement products, ketchup, and citric acid.

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It is involved in automobile transportation; production and sale of plastic products, and calcium carbide and its by-products; recycling, reprocessing, and sales of chemical products; import and export of goods and technologies; mechanical equipment, housing, and vehicle leasing; cargo loading and unloading, and handling services; and paper packaging bags, composite packaging bags, plastic woven bags, and plastic bags.

The company also sales sulfuric acid, hydrochloric acid, sodium hydroxide, sodium hypochlorite, calcium hypochlorite, steel, building materials, livestock products, machinery and equipment, and other chemical products, as well as involved in automobile road transportation; planting, breeding, promotion of water-saving agricultural technology; and research on water-saving agricultural engineering technology.

Xinjiang Tianye Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is based in Shihezi, China.

Stock analysis

Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075) currently trades at ¥3.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8402, 78.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥3.22 per share, and 1 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥3.89 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥0.4200, and 3 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.8402 (bear) to ¥2.20 (bull), the price of ¥3.89 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd reported revenue of 10.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 12.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −57.1M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.6B CNY (≈ $999M) Small · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0100 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin −0.3% · Return on equity −0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin −1.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 19 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −78%, 600075 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.8402 Fair Value ¥0.8402 Bull ¥2.20
Price ¥3.89 · Upside -78.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA ¥3.22 ¥5.06 ¥6.89 66
EV/EBIT n/a ¥0.4200 ¥1.10 61
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.40 ¥3.22 ¥4.80 54
All 4 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a ¥0.4200 ¥1.10 61
EV/EBITDA ¥3.22 ¥5.06 ¥6.89 66
EV/Revenue n/a ¥0.2300 >¥0.9200 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.40 ¥3.22 ¥4.80 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 17
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 14
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 34
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 83
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 63
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 22
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 7
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 83
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 11/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.9% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.5% (2020) → 3.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

600075 screens overvalued: fair value 78% below the price. Compare with BASF SE →

Compare Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 342 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −0.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −1.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −6.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.61× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.72× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.65× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 10.2× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 64
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)47 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥15.74 ¥43.28 +175% vs 600075
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 228,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +157% vs 600075
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥22.13 ¥40.44 +83% vs 600075
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥69.00 ¥75.90 +10% vs 600075
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥30.18 ¥19.31 −36% vs 600075
Dow Inc DOW $33.78 $20.94 −38% vs 600075
BASF SE BAS €52.84 €24.40 −54% vs 600075
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥36.45 ¥15.80 −57% vs 600075
Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong Co 000301 ¥11.88 ¥3.14 −74% vs 600075
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 74.40 TWD 17.66 TWD −76% vs 600075

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600075

Frequently asked questions

Is Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.8402 versus a price of ¥3.89, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600075?
Our model-based fair value for Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd is ¥0.8402 (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.89.
What is the quality score of 600075?
Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.8402 (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.8402, optimistic scenario ¥2.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.8402, about −78% upside versus a price of ¥3.89 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.8402, optimistic scenario ¥2.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.37% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd it is ¥0.8402 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of ¥3.89. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 600075 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.89, fair value ¥0.8402, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600075?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.89); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.8402). For Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd the two are ¥3.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd worth?
The market values Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd at about 6.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.89; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.8402 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600075?
Our models span a range for Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.8402, base ¥0.8402, optimistic ¥2.20 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price ¥3.89). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity −0.3%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600075 from its 52-week high?
Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd trades at ¥3.89, about 50% below its 52-week high of ¥7.80 and at the low of ¥3.89 (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.8402 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Zangge Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price ¥3.89, calculated fair value ¥0.8402 (−78%), Quality Score 41/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600075 calculated?
We run Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.8402, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was ¥3.89. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.8402, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥0.8402 to ¥2.20). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075) come from?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd grew +3.2 % a year from 2014 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.2 %, EBIT margin +2.4 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
The market capitalisation of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd is 6.6B CNY (≈ $999M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd is 0.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd are ¥−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
The dividend yield of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd is 2.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
The net margin of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd is −0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
The operating margin of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd is −1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
Revenue at Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd is growing −6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075)?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd are growing +987% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075) generate?
The free cash flow of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd is −314M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd (600075) carry?
The net debt of Xinjiang Tianye Co Ltd is 3.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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