CITIC Niya Wine Co (600084) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.8B CNY

Analysis

CITIC Niya Wine Co (600084) currently trades at ¥4.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.20 — implying the stock looks roughly 50.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 90/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

CITIC Niya Wine Co., Ltd. engages in the planting, production, and sale of grape wine primarily in China. It is also involved in the import and export of goods and technologies; sale of hardware and electrical products, chemical raw materials, electromechanical products, instruments and meters, daily necessities, office supplies, arts and crafts, and agricultural and livestock products; and agricultural planting and development, livestock breeding, and house rental activities. The company was formerly known as Citic Guoan Wine CO.,LTD. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Urumqi, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.