Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zhongtong Guomai Communication stock ¥1.77, price ¥7.08, upside -75.0%, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.47 – ¥17.78 · fair‑value band ¥1.17 – ¥2.22 · the ¥7.08 price screens above the ¥1.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Follow Zhongtong Guomai Communication in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Zhongtong Guomai Communication is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Zhongtong Guomai Communication Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of communications technology services, integration services, and IDC operation technology services in China.
Show moreShow less
The company also offers communication pipeline engineering, communication equipment installation engineering, and communication network maintenance services; and technical services, software development, and system integration services.
It serves communication operators and communication equipment manufacturers, as well as government and enterprises, finance, education, electricity, fire protection, transportation, and water conservancy fields.
The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Changchun, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559) currently trades at ¥7.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.77, 75.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: ¥1.17 (bear) to ¥2.22 (bull), the price of ¥7.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Zhongtong Guomai Communication reported revenue of 417M CNY in FY2025 versus 518M CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was −164M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.8B CNY (≈ $427M) Small · P/S ratio 6.33 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2700 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −23.9% · Return on equity −12.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −14.0% · Operating margin −7.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 35% fair-value upside, at −75%, 603559 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥1.17Fair Value ¥1.77Bull¥2.22
Price ¥7.08 · Upside -75.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.2% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.6% (2020) → −13.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Zhongtong Guomai Communication with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 485 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−75.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−12.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−23.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−7.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)22.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.66× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)6.11× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhongtong Guomai Communication Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603559
Frequently asked questions
Is Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.77 versus a price of ¥7.08, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603559?
Our model-based fair value for Zhongtong Guomai Communication is ¥1.77 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.08.
What is the quality score of 603559?
Zhongtong Guomai Communication has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.77 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.17, optimistic scenario ¥2.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhongtong Guomai Communication stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.77, about −75% upside versus a price of ¥7.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.17, optimistic scenario ¥2.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
Zhongtong Guomai Communication reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 465M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Zhongtong Guomai Communication pay a dividend?
Zhongtong Guomai Communication currently shows a dividend yield of 0.20% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhongtong Guomai Communication it is ¥1.77 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of ¥7.08. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhongtong Guomai Communication stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, 603559 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.08, fair value ¥1.77, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603559?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.77). For Zhongtong Guomai Communication the two are ¥5.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhongtong Guomai Communication worth?
The market values Zhongtong Guomai Communication at about 2.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.08; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603559?
Our models span a range for Zhongtong Guomai Communication: cautious scenario ¥1.17, base ¥1.77, optimistic ¥2.22 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price ¥7.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhongtong Guomai Communication (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −12.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603559 from its 52-week high?
Zhongtong Guomai Communication trades at ¥7.08, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥10.92 and 21% above the low of ¥5.86 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhongtong Guomai Communication?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhongtong Guomai Communication stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price ¥7.08, calculated fair value ¥1.77 (−75%), Quality Score 44/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603559 calculated?
We run Zhongtong Guomai Communication through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhongtong Guomai Communication itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was ¥7.08. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.77, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhongtong Guomai Communication right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥1.17 to ¥2.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Zhongtong Guomai Communication
How large is the market capitalisation of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
The market capitalisation of Zhongtong Guomai Communication is 2.8B CNY (≈ $427M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhongtong Guomai Communication is 6.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
Earnings per share at Zhongtong Guomai Communication are ¥−0.2700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
The dividend yield of Zhongtong Guomai Communication is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
The net margin of Zhongtong Guomai Communication is −23.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhongtong Guomai Communication is −12.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhongtong Guomai Communication is −14.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
The operating margin of Zhongtong Guomai Communication is −7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
Revenue at Zhongtong Guomai Communication is growing +22.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559)?
Earnings per share at Zhongtong Guomai Communication are growing −32.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhongtong Guomai Communication is −18.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Zhongtong Guomai Communication (603559) hold?
Zhongtong Guomai Communication holds more cash than debt, 739M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Zhongtong Guomai Communication in the live analysis
One click puts Zhongtong Guomai Communication on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Oct 30, 2026