Excelsior Biopharma (6496) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · TW · Market cap 1.2B TWD
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +2.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 215% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (8.69 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 22.85 TWD – 36.50 TWD · fair‑value band 7.36 TWD – 8.69 TWD · the 24.90 TWD price screens above the 7.90 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Excelsior Biopharma (6496) currently trades at 24.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.90 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 68.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Excelsior Biopharma generated revenue of 906M TWD at a net margin of -21.7%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -23.3%. Net debt stands at 106M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.36 TWD (bear case) to 8.69 TWD (bull case); at 24.90 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -68%, 6496 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (11.59 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (8.41 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Excelsior Biopharma Inc. develops and sells pharmaceutical products in Taiwan, China, and internationally. It offers general pharmaceuticals; orphan drugs; antidotes; rapid test kits and reagent; consumer products under the Repavar, Om3gafort, Oral7, and Excelsior Probiotics brand names; and over the counter drugs under the Norit, Puresenna, and Tazac brand …
Full company description
Excelsior Biopharma Inc. develops and sells pharmaceutical products in Taiwan, China, and internationally. It offers general pharmaceuticals; orphan drugs; antidotes; rapid test kits and reagent; consumer products under the Repavar, Om3gafort, Oral7, and Excelsior Probiotics brand names; and over the counter drugs under the Norit, Puresenna, and Tazac brand names. The company also provides specialty medicine and public health products. In addition, it is involved in importing and exporting of active pharmaceutical ingredients, food, and cosmeceuticals; development of cosmetics; research, importing and exporting of technologies; and pharmaceutical technologies transfer. The company was formerly known as Excelsior Enterprise Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Excelsior Biopharma Inc. in June 2003. Excelsior Biopharma Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Excelsior Biopharma reported revenue of 898M TWD in FY2025 versus 1.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound −9.5%/yr. Reported net income was −183M TWD in FY2025.
6496 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Merck KGaA →
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 633 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merck KGaA MRK | €140.00 | €106.48 | -24% |
| Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK | $17.41 | $11.29 | -35% |
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.76 | ¥25.94 | -52% |
| Galderma Group GALD | CHF 178.55 | CHF 55.07 | -69% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,944 | ₹989.50 | -49% |
| Haleon plc HLN | $9.80 | $7.62 | -22% |
| Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA | $36.74 | $15.37 | -58% |
| Sandoz Group SDZ | CHF 72.64 | CHF 48.68 | -33% |
| Zoetis Inc ZTS | $73.54 | $104.88 | +43% |
| Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 | HK$33.50 | HK$16.14 | -52% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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