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Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co (688317) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY

SZ Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co 688317 · SHG
Price¥17.11
Fair Value¥15.76
Upside-7.9%
Quality74/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -37.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥15.44 – ¥16.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥16.42 to ¥15.76 (−4.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The models converge in a tight band (¥15.44 to ¥16.08), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥79.83 ¥13.17 Fair Value ¥15.76 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥13.17 – ¥79.83 · fair‑value band ¥15.44 – ¥16.08 · the ¥17.11 price screens above the ¥15.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co (688317) currently trades at ¥17.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.76, implying the stock looks roughly 7.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co generated revenue of 118M CNY at a net margin of -37.1%. Revenue declined 20.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥15.44 (bear case) to ¥16.08 (bull case); at ¥17.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -8%, 688317 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥15.83 ¥18.55 ¥22.85 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥14.06 ¥15.24 ¥16.65 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.1400 ¥0.2800 ¥0.4200 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥15.86 ¥18.82 ¥23.68 38
Owner Earnings ¥13.67 ¥15.03 ¥17.26 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥14.06 ¥15.22 ¥16.69 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.76 ¥14.61 ¥15.58 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥14.61 ¥15.89 ¥17.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.47 ¥15.46 ¥16.79 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1400 ¥0.2800 ¥0.4200 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1400 ¥0.2400 ¥0.2900 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥12.77 ¥13.10 ¥13.42 54
EV/Revenue ¥13.17 ¥13.76 ¥14.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.71 ¥11.68 ¥17.43 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥15.83 ¥18.55 ¥22.85 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥14.06 ¥15.24 ¥16.65 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥15.24) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 118M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -20.9%
Net margin -37.1%
Return on equity -1.3%
Free cash flow 64.9M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -88.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2600
EPS growth (YoY) +367%
Net cash 2.8B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of molecular diagnostic reagents and instruments in China and internationally. It offers nucleic acid and real-time PCR kits, as well as consumables. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co reported revenue of ¥125M in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound −50.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥34.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
125M CNY
Latest YoY
−30.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−62.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−42.9%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+3.3%
Revenue −50.1%/yr
FY21 ¥2.0B
FY22 ¥2.3B
FY23 ¥274M
FY24 ¥179M
FY25 ¥125M
Net income
FY21 ¥759M
FY22 ¥760M
FY23 −¥137M
FY24 −¥127M
FY25 −¥34.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688317

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 351 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -37% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -89% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -21% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.13× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 27
PAST 0 · sector 8
HEALTH 96 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co (688317) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.76 versus a price of ¥17.11, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 688317?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co is ¥15.76 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥17.11.
What is the quality score of 688317?
Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co (688317)?
Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 118M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688317?
The net profit margin of Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tech Co is about -37.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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