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Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co (688377) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CN · Market cap 6.1B CNY

ND Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co 688377 · SHG
Price¥20.50
Fair Value¥6.95
Upside-66.1%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 9.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.61% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.65 – ¥7.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −10.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥42.34 ¥8.34 Fair Value ¥6.95 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.34 – ¥42.34 · fair‑value band ¥4.65 – ¥7.75 · the ¥20.50 price screens above the ¥6.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co (688377) currently trades at ¥20.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.95, implying the stock looks roughly 66.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 53.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.65 (bear case) to ¥7.75 (bull case); at ¥20.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -66%, 688377 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.84 ¥4.06 ¥6.04 80
Residual Income ¥6.37 ¥6.60 ¥6.75 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.58 ¥7.64 ¥11.63 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.86 ¥4.22 ¥6.52 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.47 ¥7.10 ¥11.56 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.58 ¥7.78 ¥12.25 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.46 ¥7.54 ¥11.47 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.12 ¥8.91 ¥13.32 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.82 ¥6.63 ¥11.14 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.88 ¥6.45 ¥10.49 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.31 ¥7.43 ¥12.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.58 ¥17.10 ¥23.54 54
Lynch FV ¥4.56 ¥6.51 ¥8.46 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.56 ¥6.51 ¥8.46 46
EPV ¥5.74 ¥6.46 ¥7.09 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.40 ¥2.78 ¥4.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.40 ¥2.40 ¥2.94 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.53 ¥7.37 ¥9.22 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.65 ¥6.20 ¥7.75 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.71 ¥8.95 ¥11.19 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.35 ¥6.76 ¥8.17 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.60 ¥7.08 ¥8.57 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.48 ¥7.34 ¥9.20 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.05 ¥5.42 ¥8.09 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.84 ¥4.06 ¥6.04 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.58 ¥7.64 ¥11.63 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.37 ¥6.60 ¥6.75 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.74 ¥6.46 ¥7.09 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.85 ¥8.36 ¥10.87 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥8.36) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.3%
Net margin 9.5%
Return on equity 6.2%
Free cash flow 32.4M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 53.7
More key figures
Operating margin 10.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4900
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -18.2%
Net cash 48.2K CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of parts and components for oil and gas industry in China and internationally.

Full company description

Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of parts and components for oil and gas industry in China and internationally. The company offers surface equipment and Christmas tree components, including tree cap, tubing hanger, and packoff seal assemblies, as well as tree block, casing hanger, multibowl wellhead, cross, gate valve, casing and tubing heads, and tubing head adapter; subsea equipment components, such as conductor housing, subsea conductor housing, subsea composite valve block, and subsea hydraulic connector assembly; and fracturing equipment components comprising frac pump fluid end, frac valve assemble, and gate valve. It also provides forging and machining drilling equipment; petrochemical; clean power; and engineering and mining machinery. The company's products are used in deep water subsea drilling and production, shale gas fracturing, surface wellhead and Christmas tree, BOP, high pressure fluid transportation system, and wind and nuclear power sectors. It exports its products in Brazil, Singapore, Malaysia, the United Kingdom, Romania, France, Argentina, and other countries. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Nanjing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥528M in FY2021, a compound +23.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥123M in FY2025, compounding +39.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+9.2%
Revenue +23.0%/yr
FY21 ¥528M
FY22 ¥983M
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.2B
Net income +39.8%/yr
FY21 ¥32.2M
FY22 ¥121M
FY23 ¥142M
FY24 ¥85.6M
FY25 ¥123M

688377 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688377

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 53.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 28.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 22.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 17 · sector 0
PAST 25 · sector 28
HEALTH 98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 12 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLBN 836.00 MXN 533.97 MXN -36%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $55.95 $33.55 -40%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $74.57 $27.57 -63%
Halliburton Company HAL $35.22 $21.50 -39%
Tenaris S.A TS $57.16 $45.68 -20%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥138.79 ¥34.17 -75%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.20 €2.72 -35%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 319.00 kr 227.98 -29%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.08 ¥12.64 +5%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €188.10 €95.01 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co (688377) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.95 versus a price of ¥20.50, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688377?
Our model-based fair value for Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co is ¥6.95 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥20.50.
What is the quality score of 688377?
Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co (688377)?
Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688377?
The net profit margin of Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co is about 9.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co pay a dividend?
Nanjing Develop Advanced Manufacturing Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.61% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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