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Shanghai Newtouch Software Co (688590) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 3.9B CNY

SN Shanghai Newtouch Software Co 688590 · SHG
Price¥13.79
Fair Value¥3.24
Upside-76.5%
Quality33/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -6.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.25% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥1.47 – ¥5.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥14.46 to ¥3.24 (−77.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥1.47 to ¥5.51). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥26.83 ¥8.55 Fair Value ¥3.24 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.55 – ¥26.83 · fair‑value band ¥1.47 – ¥5.51 · the ¥13.79 price screens above the ¥3.24 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Newtouch Software Co (688590) currently trades at ¥13.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.24, implying the stock looks roughly 76.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Newtouch Software Co generated revenue of 2.1B CNY at a net margin of -6.7%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.2%. Net debt stands at 891M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.47 (bear case) to ¥5.51 (bull case); at ¥13.79, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -77%, 688590 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥1.33 ¥2.66 ¥4.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.33 ¥2.30 ¥2.80 61
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.41 ¥3.23 ¥4.82 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.33 ¥2.66 ¥4.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.33 ¥2.30 ¥2.80 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.41 ¥3.23 ¥4.82 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.23) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.30). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.2%
Net margin -6.7%
Return on equity -9.2%
Free cash flow −199M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 1.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.5300
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -83.3%
Net debt 891M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd. operates as a software and information technology services company in China. The company offers Xinzhi intelligent customer service system, related transaction management system, Xinzhi financial investment platform, Xinzhi financial management agency sales management platform, Xinzhi intelligent customer service system …

Full company description

Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd. operates as a software and information technology services company in China. The company offers Xinzhi intelligent customer service system, related transaction management system, Xinzhi financial investment platform, Xinzhi financial management agency sales management platform, Xinzhi intelligent customer service system software, Xinzhi supply chain financial system, and Newtouch asset custody business platform, as well as salesperson management platform, a software system for managing the salespersons of various marketing channels of insurance companies. It also provides an integral mall platform, training management platform, ecological business platform"internet open platform, claims business platform, artificial intelligence management and control platform, DMP data management platform, auto dealer management system, LINUX in-vehicle infotainment system, Xinzhi automobile carbon emission integrated management platform, financial shared service center, laboratory management system, and closed-loop management system for the whole process of blood transfusion. In addition, the company provides software development services including consulting planning, design, development, and operation and maintenance, as well as basic computing services; software development outsourcing services; and software project subcontracting services. It provides technology services to insurance companies, banks, and other financial institutions and end customers in other industries. Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Newtouch Software Co reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥120M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+16.0%
Revenue +13.3%/yr
FY21 ¥1.3B
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥1.7B
FY24 ¥2.0B
FY25 ¥2.1B
Net income
FY21 ¥141M
FY22 −¥51.9M
FY23 ¥68.6M
FY24 ¥8.1M
FY25 −¥120M

688590 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Newtouch Software Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688590

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 480 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.29× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.42× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 6 · sector 29
PAST 0 · sector 36
HEALTH 86 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 5 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Newtouch Software Co (688590) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.24 versus a price of ¥13.79, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688590?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Newtouch Software Co is ¥3.24 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.79.
What is the quality score of 688590?
Shanghai Newtouch Software Co has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Newtouch Software Co (688590)?
Shanghai Newtouch Software Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688590?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Newtouch Software Co is about -6.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai Newtouch Software Co pay a dividend?
Shanghai Newtouch Software Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.25% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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