APT Medical Inc (688617) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of APT Medical Inc ¥254, price ¥246, upside +3.5%, quality 76 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥67.58 – ¥330.49 · fair‑value band ¥149.98 – ¥530.02 · the ¥245.56 price screens below the ¥254.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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APT Medical Inc. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of cardiovascular interventional medical devices in China.
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APT Medical Inc. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of cardiovascular interventional medical devices in China. It offers electrophysiology products, such as navigation systems, navigated catheters, mapping catheters, ablation catheters, transseptal needles and sheaths, and steerable sheaths; and interventional cardiology and peripheral products, including access, diagnostic products, therapeutic products, and accessories. The company also manufactures and supplies EP and vascular intervention medical devices. In addition, it provides OEM and ODM services comprising project design and development, customization, and volume OEM; and customized products consisting of catheters, guidewires, and delivery systems, as well as nitinol products in cardiology, peripheral, neurology, and urology. APT Medical Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
APT Medical Inc (688617) currently trades at ¥245.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥254.06, implying the stock looks roughly 3.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥258.91 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥245.56 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥55.74, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥149.98 (bear) to ¥530.02 (bull), the price of ¥245.56 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
APT Medical Inc reported revenue of 2.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 829M CNY in FY2021, a compound +32.9%/yr. Reported net income was 821M CNY in FY2025, compounding +40.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 34.6B CNY (≈ $5.2B) · P/E ratio 40.1 · P/S ratio 12.7 · EPS (TTM) ¥6.13 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 31.8% · Return on equity 29.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 3%, 688617 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥149.98Fair Value ¥254.06Bull ¥530.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥3.75 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+43.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+42.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 37%
2025 sits 55% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Devices · 361 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)30% · Top 25%
Return on assets18% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)38% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "APT Medical Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688617
Frequently asked questions
Is APT Medical Inc (688617) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥254.06 versus a price of ¥245.56, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 688617?
Our model-based fair value for APT Medical Inc is ¥254.06 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥245.56.
What is the quality score of 688617?
APT Medical Inc has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for APT Medical Inc (688617)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥254.06 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥149.98, optimistic scenario ¥530.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the APT Medical Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥254.06, about +3% upside versus a price of ¥245.56 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥149.98, optimistic scenario ¥530.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
APT Medical Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does APT Medical Inc pay a dividend?
APT Medical Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into APT Medical Inc (688617)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, APT Medical Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +28.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +40.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688617 use?
Our models discount APT Medical Inc at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For APT Medical Inc that is +28.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has APT Medical Inc (688617) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at APT Medical Inc grew +40.1 % a year. The price currently implies +28.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of APT Medical Inc (688617) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into APT Medical Inc (+28.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.99 %: that much free cash flow APT Medical Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For APT Medical Inc it is ¥254.06 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥245.56. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is APT Medical Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688617 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥245.56, fair value ¥254.06, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688617?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥245.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥254.06). For APT Medical Inc the two are ¥8.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is APT Medical Inc worth?
The market values APT Medical Inc at about 34.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥245.56; our models calculate a fair value of ¥254.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688617?
Our models span a range for APT Medical Inc: cautious scenario ¥149.98, base ¥254.06, optimistic ¥530.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥245.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688617?
APT Medical Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥254.06 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 11.2, P/S 12.7, EV/EBITDA 31.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
Balance-sheet figures for APT Medical Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 29.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 76/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688617 from its 52-week high?
APT Medical Inc trades at ¥245.56, about 26% below its 52-week high of ¥330.49 and 35% above the low of ¥181.27 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥254.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to APT Medical Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Abbott Laboratories,, Stryker Corporation, Medtronic plc, Boston Scientific Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is APT Medical Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥245.56, calculated fair value ¥254.06 (+3%), Quality Score 76/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688617 calculated?
We run APT Medical Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥254.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. APT Medical Inc currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥245.56. Our model-based fair value is ¥254.06, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with APT Medical Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide (¥149.98 to ¥530.02). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of APT Medical Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
The market capitalisation of APT Medical Inc is 34.6B CNY (≈ $5.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
The price-to-sales ratio of APT Medical Inc is 12.7 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
Earnings per share at APT Medical Inc are ¥6.13 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
The dividend yield of APT Medical Inc is 0.4% (payout 16.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
The net margin of APT Medical Inc is 31.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
The return on equity (ROE) of APT Medical Inc is 29.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of APT Medical Inc is 20.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of APT Medical Inc (688617)?
The operating margin of APT Medical Inc is 37.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at APT Medical Inc (688617)?
Revenue at APT Medical Inc is growing +24.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at APT Medical Inc (688617)?
Earnings per share at APT Medical Inc are growing +25.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does APT Medical Inc (688617) hold?
APT Medical Inc holds more cash than debt, 1.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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